If you look at this latest map and reach any other conclusion that the regime is losing then you can’t read a map. Kabydis says this new one includes corrections to Qalamoun and opposition advances that took Sadad and Mahin. I draw attention below to areas to watch and show why. This is the third time within ten days or so that rebel gains have required revisions.
ALEPPO: Kabydis has Khanassir still under regime control (but for how long?). However the area directly north toward Al Safira is contested and regime forces have been slaughtered there.
IDLIB: Rebels control almost everything southward to Hama and westward to Jisr Al Shougour (contested) where six brigades just united.
HAMA: Rebels control the south and are on the verge to the north in which case encirclement is certain. Where can regime find reinforcements?. Once Hama is fully encircled, the airport to the sw and roads leading to the coast and Homs will be at risk. To the east, encircling Hama will also threaten the regime’s narrow supply line to Khanassir.
THE COAST: Note the shortage of airports. If Assad tries to flee Damascus and somehow makes it this far, where could it put any evacuated planes? Note also that rebels are relatively close to one airport in Jablus.
HOMS: Assuming regime forces in Damascus could break through to Homs, they’d still have to fight their way through contested areas to the west. Rebels do appear close to taking the north. The south, with many regime-friendly villages may appear safe but won’t be if rebels in Qalamoun decide to dispatch a large force here.
PALMYRA: To the east rebels are close after taking Sukhna. They are already contesting in the south. Notice they’ve blocked a critical three way intersection to the west.
QALAMOUN AREA: This area is all green or contested for long distances. Several airports in or adjoining this area—especially Nasiriya—are close to being contested. Rebel forces in Qalamoun can easily cut Damascus off from Homs whenever they decide it is convenient to do so.
DAMASCUS: The capital is cut off from the south and while the road north to Homs remains open only so long as rebels choose. The road east has limited strategic value and none as an exit. The road west into Lebanon remains in regime hands but is useless for existing to the coast. Regime forces in Damascus would have to march north through most of Lebanon to get there. The Lebanese government can hardly agree to that.
THE EASTERN BORDER WITH JORDAN: The regime still holds a post there but the rebels have cut it off.
THE AIRPORTS IN EAST AND NORTH (most or all could be gone by spring)
Presently In rebel hands: Taftanaz and Mennegh
Contested (i.e, not usable?): Kwaires Airport (above Aleppo), Abu Duhour (se of Idlib)
Presently In regime hands (usable?): Qamishli (almost in Turkey); Nayrab Airport (main Aleppo airport); Tanqa airport (near Raqqa).
Seriously Bad news for regime: REBELS HAVE BEGUN SHELLING TIYAS MILITARY AIRBASE NEAR PALMYRA
The map shown below provides details on squadrons stationed there and shows why Tiyas is a biggie. Ibrahim Yuhanna writes, “That means only 4 unchallenged airbases remain: Bassil, Marj Ruhayyil, Sayqal, Shayrat. All others have or can still be targeted.
You make that THREE unchallenged airports! Paradoxy reports the FSA’s first regiment has been targeteting Shayrat with Grad missiles.
Homs Roundup: FOR THE THIRD TIME THIS MONTH THE REGIME SUFFERS BIG LOSSES IN A BATTLE
--Check east of Homs on Kabydis’ map. This is supposed to be regime-friendly territory yet, as in Al Safira and Sukhna, the regime demonstrated once again today what is likely to happen should it attempt to take on that huge rebel force of rebels in Qalamoun.
Here’s Yalla Souriya’s account:
“God’s Doors battle – earlier Al Maghaweer destroyed 2 tanks and 1 Shilka. The tolal number of heavy vehicles destroyed today is 6, plus 4 cars equiped with machineguns were burned with all the occupants. No less than 60 were killed. Rebels are cleansing the area of the enemies.” (Keep in mind that other casualties usually outnumber KIAs four or five to one).
--Liberated today: the city of Mahin.
--Trouble approaches: It appears rebels are not even waiting for Deir Ezzors fall to move on . The large force below has left Deir Ezzor for Homs and Damascus.
FSA Fighters are surrounding Suqaylabiya in western Hama countryside. Hara, Aweina and Rawdah villages seem under their control. Source: Tazimorocco.
Harasta: 10 WAR CRIMINAL MILITIA SEIZED BY ISLAMIST BRIGADE
AlI shabbiha know they voluntarily signed for war crimes and atrocities. Hece capital punishment is likely.
JAISH AL-ISLAM CLAIMS TO HAVE ARRESTED 40 OF ASSAD’S FORCES
Location not given.
SIX REBEL BATTALIONS HAVE UNITED IN JISR AL SHOUGHOUR
When Idlib falls Jisr will become a major threat to the coast near Latakkia, and to Homs, Hama and Tartous via roads southward.
SHOULD SAUDIS & S. KOREA DEVELOP THEIR OWN NUCLEAR WEAPONS? WHO WOULD TRUST THE USA BE TRUSTED TO PROTECT THEM AFTER OBAMA’S ENDLESS BETRAYALS?
The argument against has always been Saudis and Koreans don’t need such weapons because they can count on us to protect them. Obama and Kerry, supported by extremists of left and right, repeatedly made promises to the rebels and betrayed them. They did the same to France, Turkey and the Saudis. Obama is actually cuddling Putin, Assad and Khamenei. Why would any ally trust us anymore?
REGIME VICTORIES TODAY
I couldn't find any and I really looked.