Iranian.com has reported the Jihadi attack that killed 14 Iranian border guards. These jihadis have become darn good fighters. They are well armed, tactically skilled and have no fear whatsoever of the IRI. What we just saw may be first taste of a massive blowback to come from the Khamenei/Soleimani/IRCG policy of total support for Assad’s sectarian genocide against Sunnis. Just as the mullocracy ignored warnings of severe domestic repercussions in rigging the 2009 elections, so too it ignored warning of potential consequences if it bulled ahead in 2009.
As ambushes mount and suicide bombers do their thing, guilty leaders will argue, “Spillover is not our fault. Al Queda has been killing Sunnis in Pakistan for a few decades now, along with secular Muslims, Bahia, westerners, etc.” The second sentence is 100% accurate. The first is a half truth because it excludes inconvenient but essential facts.
In a region where religious differences can produce explosions, sectarianism was latent prior to 1979. By no accident the worst hit victims since have been three of the least likely—countries which were by comparison relatively secular, tolerant and prosperous: Lebanon, post-Tito Bosnia (which had as astonishing 33% intermarriage rate) and Syria. Someone conspired, for their own purposes, to convert each into a cauldron of hate where past friends and classmates murdered one another. Check out Egypt and Tunisia today—in which sectarianism has never been a great problem previously. The spillover we are seeing now started when someone with a vested interest in chaos stoked the embers of a dying campfire into a 2000-degree Fahrenheit firestorm.
THE BIRTH OF THE "NEW SECTARIANISM" (1979)
Sectarianism hardly existed in the Shah’s time because the Shah pretty much left neighbors alone. Having seized control of the Iranian revolution by exploiting the American embassy attack, the ruling mullah class—ignorant, intoxicated by power and inspired by Sayyed Qutb—insisted on exporting its revolution and building a regional mpire. The mullahs had concluded that a proven rule of human behavior would not apply in their case--that threatening behavior toward others invariably produces serious counterthreats. In this case—due to the much greater number of Sunnis—the mullahs should have been especially careful.
Al Queda was created as a Sunni mirror-image to Iran’s Islamic Republic—one that now duplicates many of the IRI’s effforts. It is unlikely either Al Queda or the sectarian wars now spreading would even exist today if not for the birth of the Islamic Republic of Iran come into being in 1979, its insistence of being a model for “all” muslims, its immediate promotion of xenophobia and its endless covert “destabilization” schemes. How many times have IRI agents were caught red handed? Why would the targeted nations and people not strike back?
The IRI’s first target for “de-stabization” was a natural enemy: Lebanon: too prosperous, too tolerant and (like pre-Milosevic Bosnia) too lacking in “sectarian consciousness.” Lebanon represented what the West has always represented to extreme Islamists—an intolerable and threatening countermodel.
People tend to forget that Al Queda did not exist prior to 1979. It’s birth was no accident. It started as a mirror-image counter-model to what the mullahs promotion of revolution. It was natural that threatened Saudis backing Al Queda initially was a natural defensive counte-move. What we tend to forget is that prior to 1979 the Saudis made little effort to promote Salafism, or finance madrassahs or support groups like the Taliban. Only when Al Queda itself started threatening the Kingdom did the Saudis back off.
SECTARIANISM ENTERS STAGE TWO (March 2011 to May 2013)
The sole innocent parties in March 2011 were Syrian people demonstrating for democracy and human rights. They came from all groups, including Alawites. To break up any such unity and rally minorities behind him Assad, backed to the hilt by Putin and Khamenei, deliberately encouraged sectarian divisions. Thus he released know Al Queda leaders and fighters in droves while keeping pro-democracy types in jail. His sectarian attacks on Sunnis were designed to create hatred on both sides and give minorities no choice but to back him—much as Milosevic urged Serbs in Bosnia to kill their old buddies and house guests. Iran and Russia could have pressured Assad to make concessions and avoid sectarianism. Instead they supported it fully fearing similar demands for democracy at home.
SECTARIANISM METASTASIZES TO INCREDIBLE LEVELS ( May/June 2013 to the present)
Indisputably, the great Sectarian Invasion of Syria was clearly state organized and armed by Iran, Putin and proxies. Nothing can convince Sunnis otherwise. Therefore they feel entitled to payback. The only way to grasp the sectarian impact on Sunni public opinion worldwude us to visualize how the Iranian Shia majority would feel if the situation were reversed.
Imagine the Arab Sunni majority seized power some decades ago and had since employed Gestapo like intelligence agencies, horrific torture and special military units totally controlled by a Sunni officer corps to repress the Shia majority. Imagine the Shia majority along with Sunnis and Kurds began mass protests demanding democracy and human rights but got slaughtered by regime snipers in place of concessions. Imagine the regime encouaged and carried out sectarianism atrocities to weaken the rebellion and rally Arabs and others behind it. Suppose Iranians revolted against tyranny and, just when they had the regime virtually ousted, a large Sunni force organized, armed and financed top down by nearby Sunni governments intervened to keep the Sunni minority rule afloat for another year or two enable further Chechnta-style atrocities in the meantime.
The Great Sectarian Intervention of May 2013 was created and organized top down by Putin, Nasrallah, al-Maliki and Assad. Logically that makes all four parties directly responsible for every regime atrocitiy, from chemical weapons attacks, bombed homes and breadlines to mass torture and rape and deliberate starvation. If Sunnis feel a need for revenge against all four can you blame them?
(These are reports of developments prior to midnight Pacific Time. I may update with a subpost in a few hours. Othewise I'll save any new material for the next lead).
RAQAA: An explosion inside the Division 17 HQ today shook the whole city according to Yalla Souriya.
HAMA MAP: Frontline in northern Hama countryside
SOME REBEL VICTORIES
--North of Hama: Rebels captured the town of Shahateh and overran regime forces at Al-Kafr. FSA took over of the Al Madajen checkpoint and seized weapons and ammunition. In one of those towns rebels reportedly destroyed 5 tanks and crews.
--East of Homs: Huge FSA Victory tonight in military bases located in southern Mahin, Homs. Dozens of thugs killed. 2 Tanks seized. Source tazimorocco.
--In Damascus, rebels beat off two attempted regime assaults. One was in Moadamiyyah, the other was in Barzem.
--In Teshreen 15 more regime troops defected today.
--On the Aleppo-Damascus highway rebels shot up a fan and captured this brigadier general
--A group in Ahrar al Sham led by "Al Shishani" carried out an attack in Idlib killing Lebanese Fadi Muhammad Hawash senior Shabbiha.
ASSAD’S SOLDIERS HAVE FUN BEATING UP A HANDICAPPED YOUTH
ANOTHER ASSAD TORTURER HAS BEEN CAPTURED AND WILL BE EXECUTED
The first part of the video shows the Bad Guy doing his thing. About three minutes into the video you see the bad guy after being captured. He doesn’t look so cocky now.
JOHN KERRY THREATENS ASSAD
Kerry's basic message is, “If you don’t stop depriving civilians of food and medicine, I will wag my pinky finger at you.”
STATISTICS ON PRO-REGIME FOREIGN MILITIA & ITS MONTHLY PAY
Who is putting up the money?
FROM ENDURING AMERICA TODAY
MAJOR REBEL VICTORY: Insurgents Say Tafas, Dar’aa Province Under Their Control The article includes videos and a nice summary of why this win was so important
EA has a full article on the border attack but notes it likely occurred earlier this month