How ever you look at it, Mousavi is going to be the next president.
The only way Ahmadinejad can be re-elected is for him to gain more than 50% of the vote on Friday. That’s highly unlikely, given Mousavi’s rising popularity.
Here are the likely scenarios:
A) Mousavi will win more than 50% of the vote on Friday, or
B) Mousavi will get the most votes but less than 50%, followed by Ahmadinejad, Karroubi and Rezaie. In the the run-off election, the great majority of the anti-Ahmadinejad people who voted for Karroubi and Rezaie will vote for Mousavi, making him the next president.
C) Or, Ahmadinejad will gain the majority of votes but not above 50%. Mousavi will come in second, followed by Karroubi and Rezaie. In the run-off, Mousavi will top Ahmadinejad with Karroubi and Rezaie supporters switching to Mousavi.
So be prepared to deal with President Mir Hossein Mousavi for the next four years. Bebinim cheh tofehee az ab darmiyad.
Best of all rejoice the final days of the god-aweful Ahmadinejad era.
