There has been a lot of talks about Moussavi, Karoubi, Khatami, ……..Ganji, Kadivar, Soroush, Makhmalbaaf, Sazegara……… and many more – all in some ways described as leaders or spokesmen of the Green Movement. I think this is a very important issue – we need to get to the bottom of, at least on the internet where collective wisdom of the Green movement resides.
1- We must separate people like Moussavi, Karoubi, Khatami,……who are inside Iran from anyone who makes statements oustide Iran. People inside Iran are walking a fine line, playing with their lives. Even Khatami – we must not judge him but what he says or has to say. What is important is to support them – as long as what they do or say does not jeoperdize Green. We must understand their limitations, and the fact that IR can at any time do things to them or their families, in making them say or do things against teh Green interest.
2- Then we have people who are outside Iran. I believe people who are outside Iran and still push for reforming IR – can be categorized in three groups:
A) People who are way out of touch and have not been following the past attempts of reforming IR. Reforming IR has been tried by Bazargan, Bani Sadr, Rafsanjani, Khatami,…. for about 30 years now – all of them hit the same brick wall of hardliners with an army of Chagoo Keshs, many of whom are now government officials.
B) People who are trying to preserve some financial interests. This group we must watch out for because they do tend to side with Green at times – since it is very hard not to oppose current atrocities of the regime. However, at the end of the day, they do tend to chose personal interest over Iran’s. These people tend to easily embrace attempts by IR stooges outside Iran to steal, derail or even defeat Green goals.
C) People who think Green will have to pay a big price if it goes for a complete regime change. This sentiment is in fact true – but these people must know, this attitude will kill the Green movement or at least kill it’s chances for regime change and or making serious changes within the regime. They must know – Green wants a “Secular Democracy“, immediately or eventually. If you are not seeking a secular democracy then do not consider yourself Green. They must understand that all attempts to get away from the ideal of a “Secular Democracy” will create great cracks in the Green movement. To better understand this let me pose this scenario:
If someone like Karoubi or Moussavi, or Sazegara proposes a national referendum on Velayat Faghih. Would this help or hurt the Green? I personaly think it will kill it. People are not stupid – they realize at the end of this referendum, we are still stuck with IR – regardless of the result. In fact a few years ago – there was another proposal for a national referendum (to say Yes or No to IR all-together) – it was also endorsed by Reza Pahlavi – and got killed, even by RP supporters, since nobody believed (and rightfully so) there could be fair elections while IR is in power. Some may think – OK deletion of VF is a good first step. NO – in fact IRGC will be even stronger with elimination of VF.
Furthermore, we must be extremely careful on who can speak or direct the Green Movement outside Iran. I am not too worried about Green activities inside Iran, since as you can see the “Collective Wisdom” concept of the Green inside Iran has done great so far – they have IR cornered to near complete suffocation. I am however worried about Green, outside Iran. There are dubious attempts to claim leadership or spokesmanship for the Green. This can be very dangerous, especially since we see reports (such as the last article in WSJ) in which it was written some un-named members of Green Leadership are giving American officials advice on what to do!! One of their top priorities was to target sanctions on Iran’s Telecom – under the excsue that it is now owned by IRGC. What does that mean – will it hurt crucial communication lines amongst the Green? It may very well be a good idea – but certainly one that has not been screened by the “Collective Wisdom” on the internet.
Green inside Iran has enough problems as it is – let’s make sure IR stooges don’t hurt it from outside Iran.
__________________ Fools Discuss People – Wise Discuss People’s Ideas.