The shrinking number of loyalists around the Ayatollah Khamenei are shaken by their failure to break the will of the opposition.

Today is the first anniversary of the fraudulent election that kept President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in power, igniting huge demonstrations all over Iran. At the time, very few outside observers believed that most Iranians hated the regime of “Supreme Leader” Ali Khamenei and Mr. Ahmadinejad and were willing to risk their lives to bring it down.

Having failed to recognize the intensity and dimensions of the opposition, many Iran observers performed a neat about-face, concluding that the regime was doomed and would be brought down in the near future. Yet while there have been many demonstrations this past year, the regime …

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