Two years ago, it threatened to trigger a wave of dissent that would reverberate around the Middle East and beyond.
Hundreds of thousands, perhaps millions, took to the streets of Tehran and other Iranian cities to protest the reelection of President Mahmud Ahmadinejad, a poll that opponents claimed was rigged.
Yet on June 12, with much of the region in a state of revolutionary ferment, the second anniversary of Iran’s bitterly disputed presidential election is likely to pass off as little more than a footnote.
Representatives of the Green Movement — the umbrella opposition group nominally led by defeated presidential candidates Mir Hossein Musavi and Mehdi Karrubi — have called for the day to be marked by a “silent demonstration” in Tehran’s Valiasr Street.
While some protesters may indeed turn out, the appeal is unlikely to have popular resonance. Musavi and Karrubi have been under house arrest since February after calling for protests at that time. Worse still, some observers say, is the fact that the latest call for protests is being voiced by opposition voices abroad, such as Musavi’s Paris-based spokesman Amir Ardeshir Arjmand.