There is really nothing particularly complicated about what just happened: the AngloZionists have murdered a top Iranian scientist in the hope that this murder will trigger a war. The Iranians have promised a retaliation, but have not taken any action, at least so far.
Since there are those who will inevitably conclude that “Iran cannot do anything“, or “Iran is afraid” or even “Iran should strike Israel“, all I want to do today is to mention a few basic things about deterrence and retaliation. Let’s begin by the former: deterrence.
Deterrence: there are two fundamental ways to deter an enemy: denial and punishment. The first case in infinitely more desirable than the second one. Why? Denial simply means that you can counter-act your enemy’s attack plans by preventing your enemy from achieving success. This is what an air defense system does: it destroys the incoming missile before it reaches the target.
In our case, an effective denial strategy would have been executed by effectively protecting Mohsen Fakhrizadeh and his family from any attacks. It is clear that the Iranians miserably failed at this task. Frankly, I have to say that I find no possible excuse for this: everybody knew for years that Mohsen Fakhrizadeh was on the Israeli hit list thus the Iranian authorities had years to prepare to fully defend him. In truth, that is not as hard as it seems. Yet, all they apparently did, was to provide him with two body guards and what looks to me like a non-armored car. It is also obvious that the attackers knew exactly where his car would drive by and when. Again, this is simply inexcusable. If the Iranian counter-terrorist and counter-intelligence services are so sloppy, then that means that there are many more key Iranian officials which could be killed next. Bottom line: the Iranians have proven that they are not capable of denial.
Hopefully, they have now learned their lesson and that more competent and determined specialists will now be in charge of protecting key Iranian figures.
Even worse is the very strong possibility that some Iranian officials might have been recruited by the AngloZionsts to assist in the execution of the assassination plan. Never say never, but I strongly believe that such assassinations are not possible without local accomplices. Again, this is a question which Iranian security services will have to not only answer, but answer for!
If the Iranians are not capable of denial, then this means that their only option to deter such attacks is punishment.
Can the Iranian punish the US and/or Israel?
Yes, of course they can, but only at the risk of doing exactly that which the AngloZionists want to achieve: give the Empire a pretext for war or, at the very least, a non-symbolic strike on key Iranian facilities (and, possibly, officials).
The key factor to consider here is that the aggregate power of Iran is still much weaker than the aggregate power of the AngloZionist Empire. Like it or not, but this is a fact. Even Russia and China are globally weaker than the Empire, so they all share the same problem: how to deter a stronger party?
In fact, there are options other than immediately responding to the attack.
One option is what the CIA calls “plausible deniability” (the Russian equivalent would be “make sure your ears don’t stick out“): you make sure that there is no way to prove that you took any action. That can be done by using proxys and/or by covert operations.
[Sidebar: I read that the Iranians killed two of the attackers and captured one alive; if that is true, then I bet you that these terrorists were neither US nor Israels but locals, meaning terrorists hired either in Iran or elsewhere in the Middle-East. This is how the CIA always operates, just remember how the CIA engaged in a campaign of car bombing in Lebanon in which local CIA assets were used to plant the bombs. In a typical CIA fashion, these attacks resulted in 83 dead on hundreds of wounded, but missed the intended target: Sheikh Mohammed Hussein Fadlallah].
Another option is what could be called “retaliation by a thousand cuts” – this is what the Iranians are doing to the USA in Iraq: pro-Iranian forces regularly attack US forces and positions, but always below the threshold at which the USA has to take major, public action. This approach can be summed up like so: “surely you will not start a full scale war just over a relatively minor incident?“. Keep the “incidents” “minor” enough and your enemy will be frustrated and unable to articulate an adequate response, especially over time.
Let’s discuss time now. It is said that “revenge is a dish best served cold“. This is true! When the AngloZionists execute a high-risk covert operation they will typically try to get their forces in a higher state of readiness in case of a overt retaliatory strike. But here is the problem: no force or facility can remain at maximum readiness forever. It is too expensive, too complicated, too disruptive of normal operations and, finally, some form or other of boredom sets in. Even better, the primitive attacker will sooner or later conclude that “we dodged that bullet” or “they did not dare attack us“, breathe a sigh of relief and resume normal activities.
Next, comes place/location: if you are the weaker party but you do want to retaliate, not only are you much better off doing that after enough time passes for your adversary to let down his guard, you also can chose to retaliate very far away from where you yourself were attacked. In our case, that means that since the AngloZionist did commit their terrorist act in plain view of the world, you need not to the same thing. Hit them somewhere as far away from their own national territory as possible. The good news is that the AngloZionist Empire has a planet-wide footprint. And, even better, the Empire is really already dead and unable to keep a high state of readiness worldwide. Simply put, there are *a lot* of very easy targets out there, it is quite easy to pick one.
Keep in mind that you do not have to retaliate in kind. If they murder one of your scientists this does not at all mean that you have to murder one of theirs: there are many venues open for retaliation which do not at all require killing anybody: you can retaliate economically, politically and you can also chose to retaliate against any US/Israeli colony out there (of which there are still plenty). How?
For example, the Iranians could retaliate against any so-called any US or Israeli “ally” in the Middle-East and even elsewhere. Remember, the huge footprint of the Empire makes it indefensible and the current political chaos in the USA might be exactly what some of these so-called “allies” need to try to slip from under the US/Israeli control.
In truth, Iran has an options galore!
Yes, Iran will probably not execute and immediate and public action of retaliation similar to what happened following the murder of General Soleimani. Why? Because they don’t have to! The main point of the Iranian counter-strike was to show the world, and especially the US decision-makers, the the US posture in the Middle-East makes it extremely vulnerable to Iranian missile strikes. They don’t need to do this again. In fact, if the logic or the Iranian counter-strike was to show that there would be hell to pay for the US and Israel in case of full scale attack, it would be completely illogical and counter-productive to now do exactly that which could trigger such an attack.
I think that we can be absolutely sure that Iran will retaliate for the murders of Soleimani and Fakhrizadeh, but my guess is that this retaliation will be “served cold” and, probably, in an asymmetrical manner. This has nothing to do with any Iranian “fears” or “weaknesses” and everything to do with the fact that Iranians are superb strategists.
~The Saker
PS: those interested in Iranian covert operations could look into PanAm 103 and how the Iranians used Iraqi exiles to deflect the planned AngloZionist attack on Iran to their mortal enemy next door: Saddam Hussein’s Iraq. I just don’t have the material time to write about these now, but follow the leads and you can find out for yourself what actually happened.
Hezbollahi scum and monarchist douchebags are two sides of the same coin.
The war in Iran is waging from within by 80,000,000 Iranians that have been forced into poverty by fascist mullahs.
According to latest estimates 70% of people in Iran are now living below poverty line.
With inflation at 47% and unemployment at 45%.
You do the math.
Just how long do you think you could keep 80,000,000 people in poverty and destitution?
Not that long.
Here are some scenes from “Bloody November” protest of last year.
!دیگه تمومه ماجرا
The Game Is Over
Did the Israeli troll come off his lithium again and start ranting in aliases? Yep.
We’re going to support our last line of defense against you. You’re low IQ and lost.
Ali Rabiei, government’s spokesperson in a press conference has said:
“Contrary to what has been reported in foreign press about the assassination of martyr Fakhryzadeh, all the spying operations terrorist groups were under our surveillance, we had predicted the location of the attack and its target. With a bit of due diligence and acting according to protocols we could have prevented this assassination.”
As mentioned above; what we’re dealing with in Islamic Republic of Hell is nothing but an aggregate and accumulation of incompetent Fascist clowns, only able to kill unarmed Iranian people.
But the game is over.
Down with Islamic Republic of Hell.
The main problem with all these so-called “anti-Imperialist” analysis is that none of these writers, or indeed this entire site itself, is able to give an objective, field-based research about every day living conditions of Iranian people, and why Islamic Republic of Hell is doomed to be overthrown by us: Iranian people, because it has left no peaceful option for 80,000,000 Iranians to improve their livelihood and achieve freedom and justice.
Fact of the matter remains that Hezbollah thugs of IR only have might and prowess when they’re busy massacring unarmed peaceful protestors in the streets of Iran, or raping political prisoners the night before they’re about to be executed.
These buffoonish clowns of IR even don’t have the competency to defend themselves.
The renowned Iranian journalist Mr. Faraj Saarkohi, just had an observation about the clownish dysfunctionality of IR security apparatus, when in has to deal with any thing other than unarmed, defenseless civilians.
With your permission I’ll post the entirety of Mr. Saarkohi’s short piece, and then translate the most pertinent part.
The Zionists, period, are pushing for a war. There is no difference between a Zionist in “east” or “west”.
Rothschild CIS is all up in Russia. Tons of Zionist oligarchs corrupt the Russian economy. None of these “white” countries operate independently.
Iranians have been classified as “White”.
Please read “Affirmative action” in U.S and history of Apartheid in South Africa.
Your obsession with skin color relates to the fact half of your family are mixed with black according to your own statement.
No, Iran is a multi-racial, multicultural society, and has always had a multi-racial, multicultural history and civilization.
Only racist scumbag monarchists dream of themselves as “White”, so they could kiss the white man’s ass.
In the real world there is no “White.”
Whiteness is a social invention created by European colonists (scumbag monarchists bosses) to rule over others.
Scumbag monarchists been residing in London for so long they’ve even forgotten how Iranian people look.
These days when anyone calls herself/himself “white” it only means that they’re Melanin Challenged, and if they stay under the sun long enough they get skin cancer.
On the other hand scumbag monarchists are mentally and intellectually challenged. To put it mildly.
Utterly f..king stupid would a much more accurate description of scumbag monarchists.
– – – – – – – – – – – –
The Invention of the White Race, Volume 1
Racial Oppression and Social Control
by Theodore W. Allen
When the first Africans arrived in Virginia in 1619, there were no “white” people there. Nor, according to colonial records, would there be for another sixty years. In this seminal two-volume work, The Invention of the White Race, Theodore W. Allen tells the story of how America’s ruling classes created the category of the “white race” as a means of social control. Since that early invention, white privileges have enforced the myth of racial superiority, and that fact has been central to maintaining ruling-class domination over ordinary working people of all colors throughout American history.
Volume I draws lessons from Irish history, comparing British rule in Ireland with the “white” oppression of Native Americans and African Americans. Allen details how Irish immigrants fleeing persecution learned to spread racial oppression in their adoptive country as part of white America.
Since publication in the mid-nineties, The Invention of the White Race has become indispensable in debates on the origins of racial oppression in America. In this updated edition, scholar Jeffrey B. Perry provides a new introduction, a short biography of the author and a study guide.
https://www.versobooks.com/books/1039-the-invention-of-the-white-race-volume-1
White Supremacist Israelis like you are way too nosey. This is between Iranians only.
Another reason why scumbag monarchists are so incredibly obtuse and dense beyond description is their rabid racism and slavish fascination and attachment to whatever they perceive in their clownish “judgment” as White.
Hence, they could never admit or acknowledge the historical, anthropological fact that Human race emanates from Africa, and due to this undeniable fact, technically speaking deep down we’re all Africans and genetically engineered and wired as Blacks.
A simple proof of this postulate is the fact of how we all get darker, and not lighter, when we stay in the sun. “White” people are the ones severely Melanin Challenged bunch in the human race. We’re all Black, just some are Blacker than others.
Mr. Palizy said that you couldn’t get any white women in your college time because of your look, so you rationalize that White concept, as colonization notion, belong to colonial powers. As a result, you started to chase African chicks. Is that right ?