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The Economist
Feb 22nd 2001
TEHRAN

WHATEVER their differences, President Muhammad Khatami and Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's supreme leader, are both dedicated to protecting the Islamic republic. If Iran's leaders ignore the people's demands, said the president this month, "no military, legal or security force will be able to save the country." The supreme leader, it seems, may agree. At any rate, he is now endeavouring to rein back the most radical of his hard-right supporters.

This would be a change. Ever since the reformists won a handsome majority in last spring's parliamentary election, Mr Khamenei has allowed a free hand to the conservative judges who throw Mr Khatami's people into prison, and to the veto-wielding Council of Guardians which blocks reformist legislation. But Iranians are showing signs of being fed up with clerics who are not allowing the system to be reformed, even by so conciliatory an insider as the president. Mr Khamenei, who is a statesman as well as a traditionalist, may have concluded that there was a danger of clerical contempt for the people being paid back in kind.

This could explain his decision to cut down to size the most openly contemptuous of these clerics, Ayatollah Muhammad Taqi Mesbah Yazdi. From the Haqani seminary which he runs in Qom, Mr Yazdi argues that religious government does not need popular support to achieve legitimacy. This is an impolite riposte to the "Islamic democracy" which Mr Khamenei claims to support. Mr Khamenei disapproves of Mr Yazdi's intemperate language towards Islamic "modernisers", and resents his influence over radicals in the judiciary, many of whom are Haqani alumni.

People discerned Mr Khamenei's hand behind a blistering interview this month by Muhammad Mehdi Faqihi, the editor of Entekhab, a newspaper friendly to the supreme leader. Mr Faqihi attacked the proponents of "petrified thinking" in Islam- and a former colleague confirmed that he was referring to Mr Yazdi. Taha Hashemi, Entekhab's owner and an ally of the supreme leader's, was more explicit. Mr Khamenei, he said, is unhappy with the excesses of some judges. He went on to say that observing the will of the people is vital "for the survival of the revolution". He himself, he promised, would vote for Mr Khatami in June's election.

If, that is, the president decides to seek re-election. Complaining that he has been prevented from doing his job in his first term, Mr Khatami has been showing reluctance to take on a second. This has rattled the supreme leader. Despite Mr Khatami's hesitant approach to reforms, he remains by far the country's most popular politician. A sulky withdrawal from office would provoke not only disappointment among his supporters, but their anger too.

So, having spent the past four years trying to box in the president, Mr Khamenei is now citing the national interest to persuade him to stand for re-election, while calling on his own hardliners to tone down their onslaught. The patriotic Mr Khatami may be susceptible to this argument, but the hardliners are not. Having got their teeth into Mr Khatami, they will not let go without a fight.

In the past two weeks, judges have arrested or summoned to court well over a dozen reform-minded journalists, civil servants and politicians, among them one of Mr Khatami's senior officials. The Council of Guardians has vetoed as "un-Islamic" a budget freeze proposed for the aggressively conservative state-owned broadcasting system. On February 15th, for the first time in several years, three miscreants were given a public whipping in a square in central Tehran. A senior judge, a Haqani alumnus, claims to have discovered a plot between reformists and a dissident ayatollah to defame a conservative former president. On February 14th, 1,000 of Mr Yazdi's supporters met in Qom to demand Entekhab's closure.

Can Mr Khamenei quell the diehards? If the supreme leader ever needed the inspirational authority of his predecessor, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, it is surely now.

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