FG's blog

MORSI’S “KHOUMEINI ACT” MAY SAVE SYRIANS FROM AN IRAN-STYLE FATE

FG — Mon, 03 Dec 2012 00:49:55 +0000

Just as Syrian Islamists had been gaining in popularity and just as everyone began to believe Muslim Brotherhood pledges (“We don’t want to be Iran” and “If you vote for us we promise won’t be the last free election”) Egypt’s Morsi has scared folks by actkig exactly like Khoumeini in 1979.

Dec. 1st roundup: Turkey-IRI tensions grow/ Assad's troubles mount

FG — Sat, 01 Dec 2012 18:22:34 +0000

NOTE: I deal with Iran first, followed by its Syrian ally in a subpost.

GROWING ANIMOUSITY BETWEEN TURKEY & A DESPERATE MULLOCRACY

EA analyst: REGIME'S FALL COULD BE IMMINENT!"

FG — Thu, 29 Nov 2012 19:59:28 +0000

'An imminent fall of the Assad regime is not an inevitability, but it is a distinct possibility." --James Miller in a devastating analysis today at Enduring America. I agree.

ITEM: the regime hasn't won a single battle since September but the opposition ha won dozens.

ITEM: Rebel victories have been lopided wins with half the garrison defecting beforehand.

ITEM: Many other regime "strongholds" especialy in the north are either on the verge of fallling or of becoming surrounded.

ITEM: Assad is rapidly losing his only remaining offensive weapon--air power.

Analysis: SHOULD SYRIAN REBELS SEIZE THE COAST BEFORE ASSAULTING DAMASCUS?

FG — Thu, 29 Nov 2012 01:31:56 +0000

I am intrigued by a map of Syria and the opportunities it seems to offer. The catch, as I’m well aware, Is that I’ve never been in Syria and could be missing something critical which would make the strategy discussed here unworkable. If so, can someone point it out?

A myth-debunking study has potent implications for USA, Iran and Arab world

FG — Mon, 26 Nov 2012 06:13:48 +0000

A study asks: "DO PEOPLE BECOME MORE CONSERVATIVE AS THEY AGE?" It

focuses exclusively on America but its findings would seem to have universal applicability. If correct, they'd also have predictive value, especially when it comes to the question:"Is it possible, in a given nation, to reverse undesired socio-political change?"

EXCERPT

Upcoming changes in energy availability will have huge political & economic effects on Iran, elsewhere

FG — Wed, 21 Nov 2012 20:08:47 +0000

Sometimes we become so involved with our daily lives or with dramatic current events (the Arab Spring, Gaza, Syria's crisis, the US elections) we fail to see far more potent developments hurling down the tracks toward us. Those events will hit every person and every nation on the planet--with full force. When it happens, most people will be unprepared.

real causes of the rial crisis

FG — Wed, 03 Oct 2012 16:16:12 +0000

1. A visibly corrupt and economically incompetent
ruling class.

2. Lack of natural checks on regime
misconduct (a free press, free speech and free, open and fair elections).

FALLING BY THE HOUR: Rial drops 15% to 34500 to the dollar (with further analysis)

FG — Mon, 01 Oct 2012 18:53:40 +0000

Iranian rial dropped 6% today. Figure is 28,500 to 1

FG — Sat, 29 Sep 2012 19:12:13 +0000

That is the latest figure from Enduring America, which also reports that the currency has falled 20% in just a week.

OTHER ECONOMIC NEWS FROM EA

The Disgraceful George Romney

FG — Wed, 12 Sep 2012 15:37:07 +0000

Democrats and all Amerticans rallied behind Bush on the morning of 9/11.

Today, before all the facts were in a deperate George Romney, a politician who has no responsibilities catered to the right-wing extremists who have seized control of the Republican Party by rushing to exploit the death of four Americans by blaming Obama.

Regime's #1 Assumption for 2013: IRANIANS ARE STUPID, GULLIBLE & HAVE SHORT MEMORIES

FG — Tue, 11 Sep 2012 17:04:46 +0000

Manouchehr, a refime propangandist who has previously urged the execution of Moussavi and Karroubi, had been posting the following news item online as if he expected it would make Iranians jump for joy.

‘Reformist (Democracy) Front to name presidential candidate soon
THREE PERMANENT LESSONS OF 2009

All Elections will be rigged (as has been fact since 2004). So long as the Islamic Republic Exists, life can never get better, not even slightly. It follows that revolution, as in Syria, is the only hope of a brighter future.

EVIDENCE OF SIMILAR INTENT IN 2013

IRAN'S CURRENCY IS GOING BONKERS TODAY. HELP!!!

FG — Sun, 09 Sep 2012 23:18:01 +0000

From Enduring America at 13:25 GMT

The Iranian Rial is now at 24450:1, a fall of more than 2% since our update two hours ago and of more than 6% today.

EA At 11:50 GM

In Syria, jihadist numbers grow and they demand a harsh state

FG — Sun, 09 Sep 2012 18:14:22 +0000

A French surgeon working in the Homs area is reporting a notable increase in the proportion of his patients consist of extremist foreign jihadis who express no real interest in overthrowing Assad. Their real concern is to establish a harsh Taliban-style state in Syria afterwards. See:

How Obama can triumph in November and prevail in the Middle East

FG — Sat, 08 Sep 2012 19:13:02 +0000

Until Canada showed the way, every alternative for dealing with Syria and Iran has been too unpalatable. Barack Obama will win a close race if he manages to thwart Assad and Khamenei prior to elections via moves as tough as anything neo-cons advocate but which by contrast involve no big military or treasury costs. Before it is too late, Obama can also reverse growing animosity toward a "do-nothing" West. His reputation for statesmanship would go up everywhere, especially in the history books.

Analysis & roundup: IN SYRIA--NOT A STALEMATE AFTER ALL

FG — Thu, 06 Sep 2012 22:16:53 +0000

A "stalemate" implies a situation where neither side can make progress. Is that the case in Syria? A more accurate description is that the FSA is winning--inexorably--but slower than we'd like.

Present scenario:

The word categorizes only Aleppo and--to a lesser degree--Damascus where lack of sufficient weapons is all that prevents a thumping FSA victory. l

Key Developments that could shake things up:

HO! HO! HO! IRAN'S TERRIBLE IMAGE IS GETTING TO THE SUPREME LEADER

FG — Mon, 03 Sep 2012 18:09:02 +0000

BREAKING NEWS: Assad has just targeted Homs civilians with deadly new weapon (roundup post)

FG — Sat, 01 Sep 2012 19:47:07 +0000

According to the video's uploader, the footage shows the moment that the barrel bomb fell on the Hamidiya neighborhood on Saturday.

Several activists claim the video was filmed in the area, however the Telegraph is unable to independently verify the location.

Thursday roundup: THE TEHRAN CONFERENCE HAS GONE VERY SOUR FOR THE REGIME

FG — Thu, 30 Aug 2012 18:30:05 +0000

THIS PRE-CHOREOGRAPHED CONFERENCE WAS SUPPOSED TO BOOST IRANIAN PRESTIGE AND PROVE THE MULLOCRACY IS WIDELY RESPECTED.

Unfortunately the conference proved the exact opposite. Visitors have not followed the pre-designed script. These stinking foreigners are as disgusting as Ron Paul dissidents at a Romney-micromanaged convention.

FSA destroys at least 5 regime helicopters in airport raid (roundup).

FG — Wed, 29 Aug 2012 15:36:13 +0000

Using two captured tanks, rebels shelled the airport between Aleppo and Idlib before withdrawing. Of course Syrian state media claimed the attack has been "repelled." The rebels were not foolish enough to take the airport and hang on until MIGS arrived.

How many defecting troops and high insiders have attested to Assad's crimes? Are they all Al Queda?

FG — Mon, 27 Aug 2012 17:25:47 +0000

The FSA has 60,000 members and is growing. It's ranks include military defectors and civiians. High-level defectors can describe Assad's direct orders. Thousands of soldiers to crimes they witnessed first hand or were ordered to carry out at gunpoint. Most armor and artillery forces woud desert tomorrow if not for vulnerability to air power. The regime has learned not to engage in close-up urban combat because of the certainty of mass defections.