Our tracker on Scottish public opinion shows that since the middle of 2020, a consistent majority of Scots with an opinion have backed independence. This is a question that pops up regularly on Quora but the answer doesn't change. The Redfield and Wilton Strategies poll found 42% of people would support an independence referendum being held in the next five years. Post-Brexit Britain casts the Scottish independence question in an entirely different light. What are the odds that Scotland will become an independent country? However, in the long term, backing for the SNP's cause will likely grow as young voters are much more inclined to . This section of the briefing discusses opinion polls for the Scottish Parliament election in 2016. Scottish independence referendum poll: the latest tracker. SNP on track for 'astonishing' record local election result, new poll suggests The Scotsman 10:33 5-Apr-22. In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention poll from Opinium on December 22, itself taken before the government's further difficulties in early 2022 . Polling over the past year has shown the majority of Scots back independence, but recent polling has shown that support dropping with the Yes and No camps pretty evenly split. Nash said: "A staggering 92 per cent of Scots do not think that independence is one of the top three issues facing Scotland.. Ahead of that referendum, the Scottish Government stated in its white paper proposing independence that voting Yes was a "once in a generation . In the case of Wales, politics.co.uk drew on the latest opinion poll from YouGov of 20 December 2021. The latest YouGov Scottish Independence research shows Yes narrowly ahead of No by 51% to 49%. It's a situation that should, on the face of it, make independence a tougher sell. The poll included 1,001 Scottish adults aged 16 or over and was conducted between April 16 and April 20, 2021. The poll found the SNP and Ms Sturgeon remained comfortably the most popular party and leader in Scotland, but constituency voting intention for the SNP was its lowest since 2019. Post-referendum polling Since the referendum in September 2014, opinion polls have asked how people would vote in a hypothetical second referendum. A first referendum on independence was held in September 2014, with 55% voting "No" to independence. Answer (1 of 14): No. Latest Opinion Polls 8th April - The result of a General Election Today The Labour lead over the Conservatives is currently trending at 3.5%. Ahead of that referendum, the Scottish Government stated in its white paper proposing independence that voting Yes was a "once in a generation . When "don't knows" are removed, 51% of those expressing an opinion are in support of a referendum for recovery being held. All polls, trends and election news for the the United Kingdom, Scotland and London — Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dems, Brexit Party, SNP, Greens, Scottish independence referendum and Scotland election polls. The Scottish Government has proposed holding a second referendum on Scottish independence (commonly shortened to indyref2) from the United Kingdom (UK). The last set of Scottish local elections five years ago heralded a downturn in the SNP's fortunes and a boost for both the Tories and Labour, which was followed up in the general election shortly afterwards by the loss of 21 of the SNP's 56 seats, leading to an independence referendum being kicked into the long grass. Last week's poll, which put support for Scotland going it alone at 58 percent, signalled that . Savanta ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. As for the question of independence, the Scottish electorate remain broadly split on . The survey by Savanta ComRes is the first to take place after the . The latest poll for Savanta ComRes shows the SNP would be short of a majority but with the Scottish Greens on 10% for the regional list vote, pro-independence parties would still A lex Salmond's new Alba Party would win six seats . A decision on calling a new Scottish independence referendum could be made within weeks, said a Scottish Greens lawmaker whose party is a key ally of Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon. Scottish referendum poll tracker. Analysts said the fall in support for independence may be partly. THE latest poll on Scottish independence found a seven-point lead for people wanting to leave the Union. Scotland Editor. The new poll, carried out on behalf of Business for Scotland, comes after a Panelbase poll three weeks ago put support for independence at 52%. Scotland: Polls show independence support is down says expert . Jamie Maxwell is a Scottish political journalist. representative of all Scottish adults by age, sex, region and past voting behaviour. I'm Mark Pack, author of Polling UnPacked: The History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, as well as 101 Ways To Win An Election and Bad News: what the headlines don't tell us.. Opinion polls in the runup to the referendum predicted the final result would be far closer than it was. Only two weeks ago, the SNP put out a press release hailing the 22nd opinion poll in a row showing that a majority of voters were in favour of Scottish independence.. Hello! Opinion polls show support for independence is broadly unchanged from 2014, but May's firm stance against discussing a vote now is widely regarded as a gamble as Scots could react unfavourably . Another 14% neither supported nor opposed the idea, while 40% were against. The revitalized Scottish Nationalist Party (SNP) once more has the wind in its sails after an earlier independence vote failed and seemed to doom the Scots to never gain independence. Pro-independence parties could win 79 of the Scottish Parliament's 129 seats in the upcoming election, a new opinion poll suggests. These polls have been carried out since six weeks after the referendum. Opinion polls show support for independence is broadly unchanged from 2014, but May's firm stance against discussing a vote now is widely regarded as a gamble as Scots could react unfavourably . Write an article and join a growing community of more than 142,200 academics and researchers from 4,306 . Tracking support for Scottish independence The latest voting intentions on the question of Scottish independence - share of those declaring for undecided are included. 433 comments HAVE YOUR SAY The study, by Opinium for Sky News of 1,014 adults between September 2 and September 8, goes against the grain seen this year, with support for separation dropping. The YouGov survey of Labour supporters in the rest of . Support for Scottish independence has reached a record high of 55%, according to a new poll. Thanks to . Scottish independence leader quits after referendum fails. Opinion polls + Scottish independence February 2020 To win another Scottish referendum, unionists must use facts, not emotion James Johnson With only a slim majority favouring independence, it's. The SNP is on course to win a majority at Holyrood as the number of pro-independence MSPs rises dramatically, according to a poll published four weeks . After more than a decade in power at . Opinion polls show support for independence is broadly unchanged from 2014, but May's firm stance against discussing a vote now is widely regarded as a gamble as Scots could react unfavourably to London ignoring the will of the Edinburgh parliament. The SNP was also seen as the most divided major party in Scotland, and more and more pictures of her are beginning to appear in the media in Wee Nippy mode. May now faces a battle on two fronts as she seeks to negotiate a good deal from Brexit and tame nationalist sentiment in Scotland. A first referendum on independence was held in September 2014, with 55% voting "No" to independence. However, the party has only two-fifths of the regional list ballot. Taking place on May 6, the elections will appoint . This weekend, the pro-independence Scottish National Party (SNP) meets in Glasgow for its fall conference. The study found 53% of Scots . Final opinion polls suggest tight race but SNP on track for a majority . It is run by the Scottish Centre for Social Research currently funded by the Economic and Social Research Council as part of its The UK in a Changing Europe initiative. News Politics Scottish elections 2021: SNP ahead for May vote, but new poll is second to show drop in support for independence The SNP is still on course to win at the Scottish Parliament . Meanwhile, the . The Scottish Government has proposed holding a second referendum on Scottish independence (commonly shortened to indyref2) from the United Kingdom (UK). Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.. The latest Panelbase survey for The Sunday Time shows those aged 16 to 35 back independence by 62 per cent, compared to 48 per cent for Scottish voters as a whole. Replacing Boris Johnson would boost independence support, poll suggests The National, Scotland 10:23 5-Apr-22. Scottish independence: Poll shows Scotland 'split down the middle'. A new opinion poll for the Holyrood elections shows the Scottish Greens winning a record number of seats and playing a crucial riole in securing a pro-independence majority in the Scottish Parliament. May now faces a battle on two fronts as she seeks to negotiate a good deal from Brexit and tame nationalist sentiment in Scotland. The survey, which asked 1070 Scottish residents over . Opinion polls show the historic independence referendum in Scotland's election Thursday is too close to call, meaning the country could cede from its 307-year-old union with the United Kingdom . Meanwhile, in Scotland the SNP will be hoping to have strengthened its position in Holyrood as Ms Sturgeon pushes for a re-run of the 2014 independence referendum. More than 1,000 Scottish residents were surveyed for the poll over March 29 and March 30. The timing of a potential new Scottish referendum - which polls say most Scots do not want - would be determined by the process of Britain's exit from the European Union, said Ross Greer, a lawmaker and a . With the upcoming Scottish election less than a month away, polling is continuing across the country to determine support for political parties. The position was now notably different from the 12 months between April 2020 and March 2021 when opinion polls consistently reported a lead for 'Yes' campaigners. On the question of independence it found that 48% would vote Yes to Scottish independence if a referendum on the issue . Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. A decision on calling a new Scottish independence referendum could be made within weeks, said a Scottish Greens lawmaker whose party is a key ally of Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. The poll found 8% choosing "constitutional affairs and independence". Pro-independence parties could win 79 of the Scottish Parliament's 129 seats in the upcoming election, a new opinion poll suggests. In Scotland in 2011, polls underestimated the size of the SNP regional list vote, and in the UK in 2015, polls predicted a hung parliament, rather than the resulting Conservative majority. Scotland's decision to remain part of the United Kingdom in an historic referendum Friday . Poll finds 53 per cent of Scots oppose Sturgeon's independence drive Mail Online 10:19 6-Apr-22. Aside from the election result, this timeframe also reflects volatile support for Scottish independence in opinion polls, which will likely force the SNP to bolster support for its agenda before triggering a second referendum. Full tables at www.comresglobal.com To commission a Voting Intention poll or a public opinion survey please contact Olly Wright, EVP: oliver.wright@savanta.com Opinion polls show support for independence is broadly unchanged from 2014, but May's firm stance against discussing a vote now is widely regarded as a gamble as Scots could react unfavourably to London ignoring the will of the Edinburgh parliament. Opinium surveyed 1,096 Scottish adults between March 11 and 16 with the company not conducting a Scottish opinion poll since the . By Neil Pooran Sunday, 4th April 2021, 9:29 am Last updated Mar 14, 2017 View all Surveys (5) Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said she plans to seek approval to hold a second referendum on Scottish independence before the UK exits the European Union. Opinion polls show support for independence is broadly unchanged from 2014, but May's firm stance against discussing a vote now is widely regarded as a gamble as Scots could react unfavourably to London ignoring the will of the Edinburgh parliament. For more polling data from across Europe visit POLITICO Poll of Polls. Scottish independence; Scotland; opinion polls; Scotland Decides 14; indyref; Want to write? A new opinion poll has found that just under a third of Scottish Labour voters back another independence referendum in the next five years.. Here we track the latest polls as the day of the independence . In particular, the idea of a border with what used to be one of your closest neighbors has been . April 7, 2021 5:10 pm. In October 2021, the politics.co.uk average of monthly opinion polls indicated that support for Scottish independence continued to wane throughout 2021. Scotland is a little over one week away from a crucial parliamentary election which could determine whether another referendum on Scottish independence takes place. News Politics Scottish elections 2021: SNP ahead for May vote, but new poll is second to show drop in support for independence The SNP is still on course to win at the Scottish Parliament . The British government is scrambling to respond to a lurch in the opinion polls towards a vote for Scottish independence this month by promising a range of new powers for Scotland if it chooses to . Were Scottish independence opinion polls misleading? April 4, 2021, 1:35 AM PDT. Now the most recent readings (from the same four companies) suggest the figure is a more modest 52%. Polling averages extrapolated in the three weeks running up to April 8 place Labour on 38.7%, the Conservatives on 35.2%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9.8%. First, aside from a few cranks, there is no support for a "Celtic Union" among the peoples of Scotland, Wales or both parts of the island of Ireland: * In Scotland, opinion polls suggest the. This is slightly down from the six-point lead (53% to 47%) we saw in August, which was the biggest Yes lead of any YouGov poll. The exclusive Opinium poll of Scottish voters, taken this week, also reveals 51% of Scots would support independence - against 49% who say they would remain part of the United Kingdom. A new poll has looked at Scottish independence Credit: Getty. These polls have put the SNP well ahead, with just over half of the constituency vote. Better Together, the campaign against Scottish independence, said the findings of Representing Border's opinion poll in the South of Scotland was further evidence that Scots were not convinced by . The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held . The Conservatives have a narrow two to . Indeed, an average of the 13 polls of how people would vote in a second referendum on Scottish independence conducted in 2018 suggests that, after excluding 'don't knows', 45% now back independence while 55% would prefer Scotland to stay part of the UK. A NEW poll suggests that Scotland voting to become independent is contingent on a guarantee of EU membership. In the referendum, on 18 September 2014, Scotland voted against independence by 55.3% to 44.7%, with an overall turnout of 84.6%. SCOTTISH independence appears to have taken a hit as a snapshot poll suggests a no vote lead following the Alex Salmond inquiry. Backing for Scottish independence increased during 2020 and averaged above 50 per cent for a time before dropping in recent months. Scottish nationalist parties could win a pro-independence "supermajority" in the May election, according to the latest opinion poll, which shows unionist parties . Data for the 2016-2021 term of the Scottish Parliament is archived here. On 18 September 2014 millions of Scots will vote on whether they want their country to become independent or remain part of the United Kingdom. In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. If a week is a long time in . Also proving stubborn to overtures from pro-independence campaigners are Scotland's pensioners. Opinion polls show support for independence is broadly unchanged from 2014, but May's firm stance against discussing a vote now is widely regarded as a gamble as Scots could react unfavourably to London ignoring the . The results put the SNP ahead in both constituency and list votes, on 49% and 37%, respectively, while the . Independence Polling EU 2019 Election Most Recent Projection Polling and Projections Poll Analysis: BMG 25th - 31st of March 2022 April 14, 2022 Comments Off A third pollster in a row suggests Labour are more popular than the Conservatives, whilst finding the worst SNP figures yet since last year's election. The evidence for this sits in the results of opinion polls commissioned by Scottish polling site Scot Goes Pop, Murray Blackburn Mackenzie and For Women Scotland. Methodology Data from key surveys and opinions polls of relevance to Scottish independence and how the constituent parts of the UK should be governed can be explored online. The 57/43 Remain/Leave split emerged ahead of the SNP revealing a Bill over the next week to set out the question and timing of a re . How wrong they were Scotland votes no:. Lesley Martin (AFP/File) Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May and Scotland's First Minister Nicola Sturgeon are at loggerheads over Scottish hopes for a fresh independence referendum as Britain . T he latest research by Panelbase found the results of the 2014 independence referendum - when 55% of . ITV's Tonight programme commissioned Savanta ComRes to carry out the survey on attitudes to the Union in England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. A number of opinion polls in the . NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles! Opinion polls show support for independence is broadly unchanged from 2014, but May's firm stance against discussing a vote now is widely regarded as a gamble as Scots could react unfavourably . Data compiled . Indeed, the question isn't just. On average the last four polls last year put support for independence on 56%. Independence Polling This page tracks opinion on Scottish Independence since the last Scottish Parliament election in May 2021. 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