 Half full
Doom-and-gloom scenarios raise unjustified alarm
Kyle Saghafi
July 8, 2004
iranian.com
Reply to Nader Habibi's "Departure".
The ideas that you presents in your opinion
piece, seems to rest primarily on the premise of sheer pessimism
and and one based on hypothetical calculations that are seriously
misleading. I gather that being an economist by profession you
have a natural tendency to resort to economical assessment in
viewing all the world events.
The political tensions that you pointed
out
in your piece have been a regular occurance in the world history
particulary in the recent years, and there is absolutely no
reason to be overtly alarmed at the possibilty of such tension
to be
escalated to the extent that would necessitate making such rash
and urgent
decisions.
For every political analyst that might predict a
doom-and-gloom scenario in the immediate future, there are a
few who maintain
a completely opposite view, why are we not looking at the
full half of our glass? Would it be incredibly wise for anyone
to
base their decisions on some speculations, when it comes to
such vital
matters, just as someone would trust a stock-broker's advice
on market trends?
I think you are being unrealistically bold
and highly
theoretical when you propose for the youth to redirect
and change their focus and embark up on such fields of study that
might not even be within their reach in terms of their academic
skills
and
learning abilities. What of those who could not conveniently
change direction and make it into a nearest medical or other
professional
schools given how fierce the competition is to get accepted?
While
it is generally reasonable for a family to have a variety
of contingency plans in most unforseen circumstances and emergencies,
what you
have described is does not quite fit in the context of
the
real life in this country. Do you really think that every
family can
set aside the amount you mentioned to accomodate their
expenses in a foreign country? And don't you think that many
of those
wealthy families have made such investments in west and
the east?
We constantly
hear that our government has gone to the extreme and
has spent a great sum of money on improving the various aspects
of
our
country's security system and althought they have not
been fully implemented
or utilized, it has had a significant impact on redcuing
such horrifying events, and there is plenty more on the way.
 Basing life decisions
and making predictions that might be economically
justifiable, on current events are no doubt a very brilliant strategy,
but
when one brings politics into the mix, that would translate
into much
more caution that one needs to exercise.
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