As more detailed news reaches Iran about the disastrous Japan earthquake on March 11, the most powerful in the last century, and about the resultant tsunami that has devastated the Sendai area in northeastern Japan, the Iranian people -- especially those living in Bushehr, the sight of the nuclear power-plant-to-be -- must be feeling not merely a sense of sadness for the people of Japan in these days of severe hardship and suffering. As the people of Bushehr in particular start digesting the implications for them and start to find out about more details of the unfolding disaster in Japan, they certainly will be reflecting on their own situation and the possible threats directed at them by the nuclear power plant that has yet to go live, in their port city on Persian Gulf.
Bushehr residents must be in deep anxiety over the existence of this nuclear plant in their city, built by a government that has demonstrated its absolute disregard for people's lives, a government lacking any and all accountability. They must be dreading the certain oncoming disaster should the nuclear plant start its operations. They know that they too regularly feel the earth shake under their feet since southern Iran often experiences earthquakes. They know that the Iranian government is no Japanese government. Safety standards? What fantasy! Earthquakes strengths the power plant is supposed to have been built to withstand? How about, earthquake strengths the plant is actually able to withstand? Evacuation plans? The residents of Bushehr must surely be surveying the available roads leaving the city, and most likely shaking their heads in despair, over the disrepair of the transportation possibilities and the sacristy of available choices of possible refuge.
* * *
The Iranian people have a right to demand accountability for a series of issues involved with nuclear energy production in Iran: Where are the records of seismological surveys carried out to determine how near or far major fault lines lie from the Bushehr power plant? What are the safety regulations put in place? What about the environmental-impact studies for the 'best-case' scenarios (as in, where to store the nuclear waste, and how)? Has any thinking gone into plans for a worst-case scenario, for the necessary evacuations, for containment of the radiation contamination, and on and on?
Equally important, do the people in Iran have any oversight rights over any of the nuclear activities conducted by the government? Of course not. As well, is there a reliable infrastructure available to help rebuild lives in a worst-case scenario? Or, is Bushehr as a city, much like Chernobyl and vicinity, an expendable entity? In other words, are the ruling gentlemen in Tehran - and all the capitals signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty - offering the people of Bushehr, as guarantees for their safety, mere luck and divine protection?
Iran rests on many large and active fault lines; you can see seismicity map of Iran at: (Seismic Hazard Assessment of Iran; by B. Tavakoli and M. Ghafory-Ashtiany). As shown in the seismicity map, southern regions of Iran are regions of regular tectonic movements.
Of the major earthquakes that occur in Iran, a good many are stronger than magnitude 6.5 on the Richter scale, from which point on major damage and destruction increase exponentially. Here are some casualty figures from recent major earthquakes in Iran, since 1972:
· Dec. 26, 2003: Southeastern Iran, Bam, magnitude 6.5; 26,000 killed
· June 22, 2002: Northwestern Iran in the Qazvin province, magnitude 6; 500 killed (included for a comparative frame)
· May 10, 1997: Northern Iran near Afghanistan, magnitude 7.1; 1,500 died
· June 21, 1990: Northwest Iran around Tabas, magnitude 7.3-7.7; 50,000 killed
· Sept. 16, 1978: Northeast Iran, magnitude 7.7; 25,000 killed
· April 10, 1972: Southern Iran near Ghir Karzin, magnitude 7.1; 5,374 killed
These casualty figures are very high as it is. In each case, additional thousands or tens of thousands more suffered also months and years of dislocation and loss of livelihoods, for which they were never compensated, nor were they helped in any way in rebuilding their lives. Now, imagine the (at least tenfold) additional casualties and displaced if any such earthquake is accompanied by the radiation contamination associated with the melt down of a nuclear reactor.
We cannot even imagine what nightmare we can face if a disaster of the same magnitude as that near Sendai occurred in Bushehr. We can, however, state categorically that not even a shade of Japanese building standards is likely to have been enforced or followed in the construction of Bushehr power plant, and we know for a fact that not a hundredth of Japanese transportation infrastructure exists in Iran, and know for a certainty that there will be little if any assistance provided the stricken people by the Iranian government.
We would therefore be right to question everything that has anything to do with nuclear activities in Iran. When it comes to nuclear power, transparency and accountability are essential. IAEA inspections are all fine and good for people living all the way on the other side of the globe. Inside Iran, however, and especially people living in the same city as a power plant need to have a guaranteed right of citizens' groups - consisting of independent scientists, environmental activists, citizens' direct representatives, etc. - to carry out on-demand inspections of nuclear facilities, the right to review their books, regulations, safety measures, evacuation plans, and on and on. Transparency and open accountability are absolutely necessary exactly because nuclear activities can, in a variety of ways, cause very serious harm to hundreds of thousands of people and their entire environment and adjacent ecosystems.
In Iran, however, there is no accountability for anything the government does. As the world learned in the wake of the 2009 electoral coup in Iran, and in the course of the development of the movement by the Iranian people for the seven to eight months that followed (a movement which has now resumed), the Iranian government does not recognize any rights on the part of the people. The government's attitude toward the people is exactly as a king's would have been in feudal Europe some eight hundred years ago, except that the government of Iran holds such antiquated attitudes towards 'its own' people, in a highly complex modern society in late capitalism.
Freedom of assembly and to peacefully gather in public spaces that rightfully belong to people, freedom of expression, freedom to organize independent labor unions, independent women's organizations or student organizations -- these are luxurious terms in the Iranian context. People do not even have freedom from being tortured in secret illegal detention centers, no freedom from being raped (or threatened to), either by humans or objects if the interrogators deem it necessary to 'break' a prisoner; no freedom for parents to hold funerals for their children if those children are killed by the security forces of the regime; no freedom to have the graves of their children left alone by regime thugs who regularly vandalize those graves; and in some cases when the youth is politically imprisoned en-masse and are then mass-murdered in thousands, illegally and in an act of 'ideological cleansing', as happened in 1988, thousands have been denied the right to even have a known grave and are buried in mass graves (see, Khavaran).
This situation clearly does not allow for a system in which the citizens can keep a vigilant eye on the government's handling of nuclear-powered energy production. Should any disasters occur (that is, when a disaster does occur), the government is guaranteed to act in the least responsive manner, to cover up maximally, and to shun as many responsibilities as it can, leaving the citizens to bear the lethal costs of a nuclear disaster on their own.
It is therefore our duty to stand on the side of the wellbeing of the Iranian people and unambiguously oppose any nuclear energy development in Iran carried out by the current unaccountable government.
Those who, like the Islamic regime in Iran, insist that pursuing nuclear power is an automatic right, must also be prepared to bear the responsibility, and be ready to be held accountable for any adverse outcome of the nuclear activities of the Iranian government; particularly when the nuclear facilities are built near densely populated areas, and most definitely if the densely populated areas are sitting on top of active tectonic plates, as is the case with Bushehr power plant.
Lacking transparent accountability for the preparations that have occurred so far as and the plans for future full operations of Bushehr's nuclear power plant, people have a legitimate right to demand a halt to all activities that could lead to large numbers of fatalities and enormous health threats for hundreds of thousands of people.
On the other hand, Iran does have access to vast and endless amounts of alternative sources of energy: solar and wind. The right engineers can do the necessary calculations, but it seems clear that cultivating solar panel farms or windmill farms, can easily match the energy produced by wasteful and radioactive-waste-producing nuclear power plants. If China can develop solar panels, why not Iranian engineers?
It is time for the left in the west to reorient itself toward solidarity with the people of Iran and think and act independently of the power calculations of the ruling classes both in the west and the ruling class in Iran.
It is time to stand in unambiguous solidarity with the people of Iran and their wellbeing. To do that as regards the nuclear issue, it is necessary to redefine the issue and to bring to it those missing social dimensions deliberately kept out by western powers as well as by the Iranian regime. It is time to approach the nuclear issue from a principled stance, that of the people's interests, and to refuse to accept the terms of the debate presented to us by the western powers or by the militarist theocracy that has taken complete control of the Iranian state apparatuses and is suffocating the Iranian people.
Reza Fiyouzat can be reached at: rfiyouzat@yahoo.com
He keeps a blog at: //revolutionaryflowerpot.blogspot.com
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At California Nuclear Plant,
by vildemose on Wed Mar 16, 2011 02:42 PM PDT//www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/03/16/california-nuclear-emergency-response_n_836751.html
Solar in Iran
by Ari Siletz on Wed Mar 16, 2011 02:33 PM PDTAccording to a UN report (probably circa 2004) "The potential for solar electricity generation in Iran is virtually limitless." If only 1% of Iran's desert area was covered by solar cells, Iran would generate 5 times the electricity she currently uses. As solar cell efficiency rises and prices fall the solar options may become more attractive than nuclear. Also the total cost of installing a full domestic rooftop solar central heating and hot water system is only about $9000 in Iran. The report says, "...the technology remains surprisingly under utilized."
Windpower seems to get more attention. According to the Global Wind Energy Council Iran is the only producer of wind turbines in the Middle East. We export to Armenia and have a joint wind power venture. However wind power capacity expansion is way behind schedule. For a while in 2006 we were getting reports of 50% growth rate...turned out it was not sustained.
Rough plan (2001) of Iran's future energy use:
Fossil: 75%. Hydro: 15%. Nuclear: 8%. Renewable: 2%
Tokyo Electric Power
by vildemose on Wed Mar 16, 2011 02:29 PM PDTTokyo Electric Power Company (Tepco) has warned:
The possibility of re-criticality is not zero.//www.dailykos.com/story/2011/03/16/956962/-TEPCO:-The-possibility-of-re-criticality-is-not-zero
The truth is that
by vildemose on Wed Mar 16, 2011 02:26 PM PDTThe truth is that governments (japan and the us) and msm are much more concerned with keeping the public calm rather than telling the public the truth.
It is important to pay attention to what is being done.
Governments and corporations have or are evacuating their people.
EU is insisting food imports be tested.
Radiation has been released into the aquifer of Japan.
Naval forces are being repositioned.
Most government officials in the U.S. are insisting that there is "no threat" to the health of American citizens from this crisis at this point.
However, we are NOT being told that there is no need to have a supply of KI.
Will this catastrophe affect the US?
I believe it would.
If radiation were released by a damaged nuclear reactor it would enter into the jet stream.
The first major land mass that it would encounter would be North America.
The jet stream commonly takes air from Japan directly over the west coast of the United States.
Make no mistake. A major release of radiation will enter our food chain.
//www.geigercounters.com/NetworkVersion.htm
..."heard a quote last
by vildemose on Wed Mar 16, 2011 02:22 PM PDT..."heard a quote last night on NPR. "It isn't that nuclear power is inherently unsafe, it's just that it's inherently unforgiving." Sounds like verbal gymnastics. To be unsafe, all it has to do is fail once
MrX1: agreed, It's not a
by vildemose on Wed Mar 16, 2011 01:45 PM PDTMrX1: agreed, It's not a matter of IF. I was saying the same thing yesterday to my cousin. I hope IAEA suspneds their license and revamps its laws and regulations regarding the nuclear plants that are build on quake-prone areas.
what kind of nuclear power plant has Russia build for Iran?? The kind they had in Chernobyl??
Jahanshah Javid
by Simorgh5555 on Wed Mar 16, 2011 01:41 PM PDTI entirely agree with you. Nuclear technology is even considered outdated today as advancements in solar, wind and hydro power have been made. Iranian scientists have succeeded in enriching uranium and this is no small achievement but Iranians will be more proud if it concentrates on building solar reactors and other methods of non-nuclear and non-carbon energy giving putting her in direct competition with other Western countries. Would it not be a great thing to boast that Iran is the first middle eastern country that generates its entire electricity from more intelligent energy such as solar power?
Nuclear energy although maintained safely is a clean energy but the tragedy in Japan and Chernobyl in 1986 shows how it can go horribly wrong.
We do not need a bomb. Israel will not be a threat to us to justify having a nuclear weapon so long as we are not a threat to them and we do not need to have any anomisty towards her or any other nations.
Excessive levels of
by vildemose on Wed Mar 16, 2011 01:37 PM PDT"Excessive levels of radiation at a second Japanese nuclear facility at Onagawa after Friday's earthquake have led authorities to report a state of emergency, the UN nuclear agency said. "Japanese authorities have informed the IAEA that the first or lowest state of emergency at the Onagawa nuclear power plant has been reported by Tohoku Electric Power Company," the International Atomic Energy Agency said. The alert was declared "as a consequence of radioactivity readings exceeding allowed levels in the area surrounding the plant. "Japanese authorities are investigating the source of radiation."
This plant has 3 reactors.
Best argument against nuclear technology
by Jahanshah Javid on Wed Mar 16, 2011 01:27 PM PDTI'm against nuclear technology, period. Doesn't matter where. It's simply too dangerous and too toxic to justify it any country.
So while most of the existing noise is against the possible use of enriched uranium for building bombs, I'm much more worried about a natural disaster at Bushehr.
With all the earthquakes occurring in Iran, including around Bushehr, it's just insane to build nuclear plants anywhere in that country.
But as the article states, the public has no oversight over these nuclear plans. There's no accountability. There's no public debate on what people think and what their concerns are...
Radiation level map
by vildemose on Wed Mar 16, 2011 01:05 PM PDT//www.targetmap.com/viewer.aspx?reportId=4870
If
by MRX1 on Wed Mar 16, 2011 10:54 AM PDTThe question is not IF the question is WHEN. I am not concerned I believe Emam zaman will intervene and fix everything.