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DK

I enjoyed reading your article

FYI/Russia warns US about attacking Iran (Russia News)

Russia warns US against military strike on Iran (Russia News VIDEO)

amirparvizsecular joon

نه عزیز دلم، این علی‌ آقا دیگه گدا نیست، خیلی‌ هم پول دار شده.شنیدم حتا از شاهنشاه آریامهر آقای داریوش خان هم پولدار تر شده!

حالا بگذریم، ولی‌ بگو ببینم،  تو از کجا میدونی‌ که این داره در میره روسیه یا ونزولا؟ این خبر‌ها رو از کجا میگیری  ناقلا؟؟!

RG, He is known to Iranians as "Dictator" or "Ali Gheda"

Unfortunately he will be off to russia or venezuela at the first sound of trouble.  Sadly this will take more like 5-7 years before they finally go for Regime Change in Iran, it's not something you can switch on and off, but takes time and plenty of planning.  Some in the west are hoping they can kill Al Gheda and keep the mullahs.

Great Post DK.

Today the problem is the only way for the USA/EU to get out of their economic mess is through weapons sales, but Iran would certainly back fire on them and have many unintended consequences in the short term, medium and long term.  Next year is an election year and barry won't do anything that doesn't have European consensus, so I this talk is a joke for now. 

In 2013 things could be different, I was reading the discussions of US National security advisors and they are now getting close to deciding to do a regime change despite what the EU says, if that is the case we will see a new candidate for president calling for regime change.

Finally "soltan ali " and his "Vazir" ahmadinezhad's turn......

has arrived.

First Osama, then Gaddafi, now Soltan ali and his vazir the fake "doctor" ahmadinezhad, and their islamist "republic" of rape, torture, murder & theft.

The Imperialist puppet master seems to be  dumping his unruly puppets who have expired their usefulness, at an astonishing rate... 

"Personal business must yield to collective interest."

FYI/LSE IDEAS : Niall Ferguson On Nuclear Arms and Human Rights

LSE IDEAS : Niall Ferguson On Nuclear Arms and Human Rights

Recommended Readings:

Wanted:A Grand Strategy for America by Niall Ferguson

Why are all the good historians rightwing? By Jonathan Jones (Guardian)

Writers such as Niall Ferguson are the only ones asking serious questions. Is leftwing history dissolving in a sea of good intentions?

Another Related Blog:

Niall Ferguson Blasts Barack Obama For Failed Egypt Foreign Policy

IAEA as "reliable" as the Nobel Peace Prize Committee

Don't see how they can justify an intervention without seizing the UN security council ?

U.N. Resolution Against Syria Fails In Security Council : NPR

They were not able to convince the Russians, Indians, Chinese or Brazil to endorse a European and American Resolution on Syria.

How do they want to rally them on Iran ?

If an attack (in itself a far fetched terminology from let's say an D- Day Invasion) were to take place it would come from an Israeli or Saudi initiative as Israel did when it came to Saddam's nuclear plants or in Syria a few years ago and to my knowledge after some protests and outrage in diplomatic circles it hardly moved waves in the UN.

But I don't see what benefit Israel or even the Saudis could have in taking the responsibility of such an attack without evaluating the consequences.

The entire Middle East is in a very dangerous and chaotic juncture and nearly all the regimes in the region are at crossroads. Syria and Yemen being the tip of the Volcano.

An attack could only push regional tensions to boiling point including deteriorate relations with already estranged Turkey, hence isolating Israel even more in a region.

Unless the Think Tanks in Israel and Saudi Arabia are totally out of their minds then indeed there is a major risk.

But I do not see how and why the US or Europe would risk attacking Iran even despite the IAEA's made up report.

I say "made up" not that it is not true but merely because I think that these organizations are anything but independent. When that other nut head El Baradai was in charge it served the interests of those lobbies which seeked engagement with Iran. Once out it simply serving the interests of those who oppose appeasement.

Hence the lack of transparency and credibility of these organizations self imposed in the international arena ( very much like the Nobel Peace Prize Committee ) and presented as "respectable", "honorable" and "reliable" only to shape public opinion to satisfy the highest bidder.

Personally I believe until further notice which would prove otherwise that this is merely a psychological warfare. A risky one but psychological nevertheless.

Unless in a machiavellian calculation Europe and the US think that War in the entire middle east could boost their own crumbling economies and serve the pretext they were looking for to sell arms to different ethnic groups and countries which will have no other alternative than to fight for their survival and turn the middle East into a Balkanized war zone.

This would be an excellent plot for a Tom Clancy Novel "Sum of all Fears" but is it realistic or even plausible ?

The Sum Of All Fears (2002) Trailer

Only time will say ...

My Humble Opinion,

DK

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