In less than two months, the world will see its most important election of the year — and it will take place in Iran. I have to admit that even typing those words is sort of strange. I mean, we're talking about a strict theocracy here — a revolutionary regime that still dreams of ideological conquest. So why would its presidential contest even matter at all? How about an overshadowed middle class, a shape shifting energy industry, and a ratcheting-up of military might at a crucial moment for global security? Sounds a little like last year's most important election, now doesn't it?
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Excellent Article
by 1L (not verified) on Tue Apr 21, 2009 05:18 PM PDTVery good, educated, and reserved analysis...A breath of fresh air amidst the usual "IRI is a lunatic ready to sacrifice self" garbage which is wholly untrue.
Thanks for the article
by Abarmard on Tue Apr 21, 2009 01:42 PM PDTReally enjoyed the article. I agree with most of his points. I would still argue that if the international (Read Western) full respect to Iran is given sooner, Iran might stop her pursue of the Nuclear developments. My guess is that Iran also realizes that its time to join the world, however the price that must be given to get there is the question. They certainly will not agree on an equation that would bring loss to their already strong bargaining power. Very interesting chapters to watch while they unfold.
Finally, I believe that in the next two to three coming presidents, Iran will loosen its grip on social restrictions. It's not worth for the regime to continue its path that sends a wrong signal to the world plus makes many educated and modern Iranians angry. Once the regime feels secure from outside world, it will show the confidence in the inside. That is the logical path.