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Making forecasts about Iran is a foolish occupation. Few predicted the surge of support for Mir Hossein Mousavi before the June election, or the regime’s egregious rigging of the result, or the vast protests that followed.

Even fewer would have predicted that six weeks later it would be the opposition rebounding and the regime in disarray.

A Government that claims to be the champion of Islamic values has been hit by its own version of America’s Abu Ghraib scandal. It has been caught perpetrating some of the very horrors for which the Shah was overthrown.