
Excellent question
From Akbar Ganji to California real estate
July 24-August 30, 2005
iranian.com Dear Editor Salam, Akbar Ganji's Very Excellent Question
Simply
put, Akbar Ganji is being killed for asking Khamenei this very
excellent and lucent question: "magar (Iran) erseh baabaateh?"
Cemetary Visit
I recently visited a cemetary
where some of my relatives are interred. Having paid my respects
and offered a prayer for them and others
in the graveyard, I couldn't help but look at the sea of headstones
and notice the ages of those who had passed on: in their 20's,
30's, 40's, 50's, 60's, 70's....a quick calculation relative to
my own age gave me an immediate sense of my own mortality,
and how much longer I could expect to live if God chose to grant
me a "natural" life span. More pressing, however, was
the realization as to how short life really is, and the nagging
need to "make a difference" in the remaining 20 to 30
years (and, boy, does time fly...I can remember 20 or 30 years
ago as if it were yesterday!) I must concur that there is nothing
like regular visitation to cemetaries combined with deep contemplation
to help one get their life priorities straight. The Larger Picture: A different tact
I was thinking to myself how Iran's "larger picture" and
the nuclear "question" can be resolved in one package,
for the benefit of the Iranian people and the world at large, and
I think I have found the answer. Obviously, the world at large
would feel differently about Iran's nuclear programs and its general
scientific progress if the Iranian system were rooted in democracy
with accountability and rationality as the basis of its politics
[while tolerance for Pakistan -- with its military dictatorship
-- might be the exception (and frankly that one slipped through
the
cracks), the case of many responsible "democratic" countries
around the world with active and ongoing peaceful nucear power
and programs attest to this.]
No one anywhere, in their right minds,
wants to have a bunch of unelected, unaccountable, and irresponsible "loonies" with
suspect agendas (and I am not talking about any one specific country
or system in the world, but the world at large) being in a position
to upset world peace and stability. At the same time, I really
don't think there is a calculated hegemonic conspiracy to deny
developing countries access to progress and technology (otherwise,
Korea and Taiwan and Malaysia and... wouldn't be where they are
today).
So I would suggest that the negotiating points on
Iran's nuclear programs not be tied to technical or financial or
energy
or strategic trade-offs, but that Iran be allowed the full-spectrum
of peaceful nuclear programs and technologies in return for measurable
milestones to becoming a fully democratic and accountable and transparant
country and system. Parallel to this a serious effort has to be
made to make the entire world 100% nuclear weapons free, including
the known nuclear weapons powers like the U.S.,
Russia, China, India, U.K., France, Pakistan, Israel, and North
Korea... because the hypocrisy (and dangers) of allowing some to
have the bomb while patronizing others about the evils of acquiring
the bomb just doesn't hold water. Game Theory: My Analysis
The long and short
of it, based on my analysis, is that Iran has everything to lose
and nothing to gain by pursuing a confrontation
with the United States on the nuclear issue. Two stark realities
are as follows:
(1) the U.S. has 4 billion barrels of oil
stocked in its Strategic Petroleum Reserve which it could gradually
release on the markets prior to any sanctions/confrontations with
Iran to mitigate the loss of the 2 million barrels of oil Iran
exports daily (also at these prices the U.S. would pocket a hefty
profit selling oil it has been acquiring for as low as $6
per barrel in the mid to late 1980's, even helping slightly offset
its recent run-up in national debt),
(2) with its overwhelming
precision-guided missile inventory and technology the U.S. could
take-out Iran's ENTIRE economic and industrial infrastructure (and
even its leadership) without "boots on the ground", leaving
the country destitute for generations to come (much as when the
Russians stripped eastern Germany of every brick, stick, and steel
after World War II.)
So we come to the conclusion that in a confrontation
where the balance of power is so asymmetric, the weaker power
should acknowledge its vulnerability, step out of the way, and
look for
some diplomatic maneuver to keep the country and citizenry safe
from irreparable harm.
When the French speak.... Iran should listen.
Everyone knows that the French and the Americans are not each others'
biggest fans, so when the French insistently tell the Iranians
to accept the EU-3 offer, one with any inkling of wisdom should
assume that the alternative (i.e likely U.S. bombing runs on Iranian
nuclear facilities) may be forthcoming and more harmful to Iranian
interests. For example and starkly put, if Saddam had taken France's
advice and pulled out of Kuwait when advised to do so before the
outbreak of war in 1991, things might have been different
for him and Iraq today.
Identity Crisis... or who am I?
I and a cousin of mine were conversing the other day, and we came
to the realization that those of us who left Iran under difficult
and traumatic circumstances around the ages of 9, 10 and 11 in
the late 1970s and early 1980s are oddballs... we aren't quite
Iranian as either those who were older than us when they left Iran
at that
same time (or those who continue to reside or have resided in Iran
currently or since that time period) and we aren't quite American
(or Swedes, Germans, French, British, Canadians, etc. depending
on where we live), but a distinct mix whose values and identity
only others with the same experience can kind of relate to. It
will probably take a generation of integration for our descendents
to establish an unconfused "new" identity.
Might versus Right
I find it more than a little ironic that Iran's regime is playing
the "right versus might" card in its nuclear stand-off
with the United States, yet the same regime insists on playing
the "might versus right " card against Akbar Ganji. Talk
about wanting one's cake and eating it too. Costliest mistake
In retrospect, the occupation of the U.S. embassy in Tehran
in 1979 and its consequent hostage-taking and alienation of the
United States, was Iran's single costliest foreign policy gaffe
(on par with the continuation of the war with Iraq in 1982) of
the past quarter century.
The illegal, unwarranted and diplomatically
unacceptable act was particularly stupid in view of the fact that
the Carter administration and the U.S. were friendly to the
Iranian people and their cause, and could have done much to further
Iranian interests... instead a handful of immature radicals engaged
in behaviour which led to the U.S. not just sanctioning Iran,
but openly supporting Saddam Hussein in his conflict against Iran
(remember the Iraqis received satellite photos of Iranian
troop placements prior to Iranian military operations.)
The U.S.
has taken the first step of apologizing to Iran for its involvement
in the 1953 coup against Dr. Mossadegh, now it is time for Iran
to take the step of apologizing to the United States for occupying
its embassy and taking its diplomats hostage.
"Shelang"
"Shelang" is one of the great contributions of the recent
Iranian Diaspora to the rest of the world and to general public
hygene.
I tell you, someone should get on the "loo" manufacturers
and have them manufacture their potties with "shelangs" in
place, it would save our community a ton in plumbers' charges and
would contribute to the general health and welfare of humanity
at large. Be responsible... buy life insurance
I just wanted to take this opportunity to remind your viewers to
be responsible and consider buying life insurance if they have
dependents or obligations which might go wanting or unsatisfied
in the event of an untimely or unforeseen death. Affordability,
particularly for term life insurance, should not be an issue as
20 or 30 year term policies with coverage of upto $1 million can
sometimes be acquired for less than $200 per month depending on
the insured's health... it really is a small price to pay for the
peace of mind it offers.
I had a business partner who died of a
sudden heart attack at age 47 several years ago, leaving an
immigrant wife with no marketable skills, very little familiarity
with the language and culture, and virtually no local relatives,
he also left behind a 7 year old daughter and a 4 year old
son. My partner's unexpected and untimely death along with the
difficult situation in which he left his wife and kids was not
just stressful
to them, but also to me: for nearly 3 years I chose to forgo taking
a salary from the business in order to push more money down to
the profit column, so that my deceased partner's family could take
home more money from the business and so they could survive.
But
what would have happened to his family had I chosen to take a salary,
or had I been a dishonest man and cheated them in the business?
Not everyone is like me and willing (or able) to make difficult
sacrifices, which is why it is important (and responsible) to provide
one's family with the protection that life insurance provides.
Policy Matters
(1) Getting Akbar Ganji released
from prison is going to require some form of extended pressure
such as a nationwide transportation strike or a job walk-off by
oil industry employees. My clear and simple message to Ganji
is that if Iranians aren't willing to make at least some sacrifices
on his behalf, then they aren't worth dying for.
(2) The international community should consider
rewarding Iranian cooperation in its nuclear programs by (a) releasing
frozen Iranian assets (less my personal claims of $6-$7 billion),
with the first funds going to pay-off Iran's international debt
obligations of over $30 billion and the balance going into a closely
monitored UN trust fund to be expended on improving the quality
and curriculum of Iranian education, schools and universities
(b) facilitating the re-unification of Northern Azerbaijan back
into Iran. Water Water Water
I can't believe this monumental waste of resources on nuclear this
and that. What matters at the end of the day is WATER. To those
who have given up on Afghanistan, I beg to differ, who can put
a price on the precious water that Afghanistan may someday pipe
from the Hindu Kush mountain ranges to flourish the deserts of
Iran, Pakistan and elsewhere? Nothing to fear but "fear" itself
I recently had an experience which was somewhat disconcerting to
me: someone whom I became acquainted with (who had grown up and
intended to return to the "old country") chose to sever
communications because they felt that associating with me would "jeopardize
their privileges back home." Imagine that! Iranians have now
been programmed (through fear) to view anything and everything
as a "privilege" subject to being taken away from them,
as opposed to a "right" to which they are inalienably
entitled to.
Fear and the absence of the rule of law have created
an atmosphere which denies the citizenry the basic ability to talk
with people they might like to talk with, and do virtually
anything else they might take pleasure in. How odd to have to live
thinking that your ability to happily live, work, get married,
have a family, help others, etc. is a "privilege" that
can suddenly be seized from you on someone's whim because they
don't approve of whom you communicate or establish a rapport with?!?!
How sad I feel for my acquaintance who won't allow
themselves to get to know me better (and whom I won't get to know
better) and
more fully appreciate life because of "fear." (As an
interesting aside, the weakening of civil liberties here at home
as a result of some of the shortcomings of the Patriot Act have
created a similar atmosphere of fear among immigrant and religious communities
within the U.S.)
Just plain interesting!
Did you know there is a law firm in Orange County named "Payne & Fears" (the
actual names of the two founding partners!)?
My brother's friend
is a dentist and his spouse is... a pastry chef (this dentist
will never run out of business as long as his wife makes
all those sweet and tasty confections!) Fear, Sacrifice and Entitlement
I find it interesting that Iranians think that we should
fear for ourselves for calling a murderer a murderer, and a thief
a thief- after all, shouldn't it be the murderer and the thief
who should fear for themselves for being such criminals? The
reason nothing changes in Iran is because no one wants to "stick
out their neck" in a collective and unified manner, everyone
wants someone else to make the sacrifices while they safely, happily,
and carefreely live their lives, make their money, and enjoy their
families... then when things change they feel they are somehow
entitled to some "action".
That is not the way it works,
the people entitled to "action" are the people who make
the sacrifices... sacrifices in terms of their lives, their safety,
their comfort,
their livelihood
and their families. If you want to keep away/ distance yourselves from us
now because you fear the consequences and repercussions...then
also keep away from us when we are in positions
of power and authority... because our lives have no room for self-interested
and inconsequential little men and little women.
PS: Did I mention
that Iranians didn't remove Mohammad Reza Pahlavi to replace
him with Ali Khamenei?
Can someone tell me...or where is Bill Nye
the Science Guy?
Can someone tell me why my Jasmine (Yasmin) flower plant is
more fragrant at night than during the day...what is the science
behind this phenomenon...or is it that an individual's sense of
smell is more powerful at night than during the day?
Disappointed
Ahmadinejad is starting to disappoint me, I would have thought
that he and his associates would have already had Rafiqdoost
et. al. in shackles and appearing before a magistrate to explain
numerous inconsistencies (read: theft and fraud) in the affairs
of the Bonyad Mostazafan during the latter's stewardship of that
entity. It is better not to drink
While there is some benefit in drink, there is more harm. Several
months ago a relative of mine on my mothers side -- a fine young
man in his mid 20's, the prime of his life -- was killed in Michigan
in a horrific automobile collision. The culprit was the opposing
driver who was intoxicated and who had three prior convictions
for drunk driving. This young relative's father and mother are
inconsolable. Make life easy on yourselves and others and
don't drink. I am (and have always been) "dry" and feel
no less the worse for it.
Multi-media stocks
Let's go multi-media and add some more GMST at $2.85, and take
an initial position in DLB at $16.45 for the Iranian portfolio.
Having
said that, no one should invest in anything without first consulting
with their attorney, accountant, financial adviser, etc. Lost and Found
Unlike some other countries which go out of their way to confiscate
the fruits of their citizens' labor and their belongings (wink
wink nod nod), here in California the government goes out of its
way to help its citizens recover their lost and missing assets.
Check www.scoweb.sco.ca.gov to
see if you have some misplaced, lost or forgotten assets that the
state of California is holding for you.
Real Estate: North Carolina & California
To those following my advice about investing in real estate in
Western North Carolina, I recommend Beverly-Hanks as a good real
estate brokerage firm (see: Asheville
Real Estate, Beverly-Hanks
and Associates), and Diane Demetris-Duermit
(dianed@beverly-hanks.com,
cell: 828-337-1747) as an excellent regional realtor.
Real
estate/land has been appreciating at an average rate of 15%+ per
annum in this part of the country for a number of years, and should
continue doing so in the foreseeable future as large numbers of
wealthy retirees continue migrating towards the "thermal belt" anchored
by quaint and desirable communities such as Tryon, NC (see www.tryondailybulletin.com).
Investors
cashing-out of over-inflated real estate markets elsewhere in the
country -- or looking for 1031 exchanges -- may want to give
consideration to re-investing in prime land in communities such
as Tryon, NC through agents such as Diane.
California has a property tax dilemma. Since annual
property taxes are typically approximately 1% of the purchase price
of one's residence, an observer will notice that buyers who
are new homeowners (typically young and not yet very financially
strong) are, paradoxically, footing the lion's share of the tax
burden, while more established homeowners (typically middle-aged
and financially stronger) are not footing as large a share of the
tax burden.
For example, an entry level home/condo in Orange
County today approximates 1500 square feet and sells for $600,000
and the
annual property tax on this house is about $6,000; however the
annual property tax on a 3500 square foot home purchased in Orange
County for $60,000 in 1975 is $600 (the current market value of
that 3500 square foot home might be close to $1.4 million.)
One
solution to resolving this inequity might be to scrap the annual
property tax assessment and implement a property tax that takes
effect at the time of a property sale and which represents a
percentage of the sales price (for example 15%), other than being
more equitable
this approach has the benefit of assuring that property owners
are never delinquent since money from the proceeds of a sale
would be available (at the conclusion of a sale) to fund the property
tax assessment.
Broken Record
I am tired of sounding like a broken record, so for the last time
to humor those asking me for real estate advice:
(A-Z): Invest in growth markets which are land supply constrained
and non-interest rate sensitive: i.e. invest where alot of
either high networth individuals or cash rich retirees want to
live and where good land is hard to come by.
For example:
On the West Coast: consider buying a house at Toscana Country Club
in Indian Wells, CA (a beautiful new development by Sunrise Company
- www.sunriseco.com - in
a prime retirement/growth market.) I anticipate the average home
price in this community to double from $1.5 million to $3 million
over the course of the next 3-5 years.
On the East Coast: consider buying horse farms in the prime Hunting
Country area of Tryon, NC (Diane Duermit, with Beverly-Hanks & Associates
- www.beverly-hanks.com - in
Asheville NC, is a local realtor there: she can be reached at 828-251-1800).
I consider land at $200,000/per acre to still be a relative long
term bargain here.
Va salam,
Hamid Boroumand
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