But neither close Obama advisers nor Iran experts are expecting a rush to dialogue with Tehran come Jan. 20, for a number of tactical and event-driven reasons:
•The economic crisis will consume much of the new president’s attention and is likely to put off major diplomatic initiatives. •The sinking price of oil is seen as having clipped Iran’s wings, raised domestic woes for Tehran, and made negotiations somewhat less urgent. •And, most important, Iran holds presidential elections in June, leaving the United States wary of doing anything beforehand that might be used by Iran’s extremist and anti-Western forces – in particular President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad – to electoral advantage.
