” In saying that the deadline for an Iranian bomb is 2014, Dagan accepted a Central Intelligence Agency assessment that Israel had criticized in the past. The CIA has repeatedly and consistently determined that Iran would have its first bomb not before 2015 “For 15 years, Israel’s Military Intelligence and the Mossad have regularly altered their assessment regarding the date when Iran’s nuclear program becomes operational. The deadline has been constantly pushed forward, from the late 1990s to the beginning and then the middle of this decade, and finally to the 2009-2010 period. And now suddenly, out of the blue this has become 2014. These frequent fluctuations have damaged the reputation of Israel’s intelligence agencies worldwide and have confused the public. The intelligence estimates have been perceived by many in the world as “alarmist” and designed to serve political and diplomatic goals.
