Iran’s Not-Yet Revolution: Cause for Optimism

There are numerous reports from within military barracks that an increasing number of guards and basijis are becoming disillusioned about their role in the suppression of peaceful demonstrations. As long as the uprising maintains its peaceful methods, and the more the guards are brought to the streets, the faster the regime will collapse. However, the demand for regime change may not necessarily follow the path of the 1979 revolution. Such a change could also be made by reviving and revising the democratic first draft of the 1979 Constitution, in which the elected president, not the clergy, was the head of the state. However, there is both a major internal shortcoming and a possible external threat to the uprising.

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