IRAN and USA (current analysis)

We all know Iran and US broke diplomatic ties after the leftist islamic students violently occupied the US embassey in Tehran.
Today, the rapprochement of relations between these two government requires a miracle since the current political impasse between these two country, is the ideal outcome for specific power centres inside Iran and the United States. To such extend that the survival of some of these groups depends on the continued animosity between Iran and US.

Take the Lebanese Hezbollah for an example. This group is fully aware that it will be among the first victims of a renewed relation between Iran and US.  So, it is quite possible that a portion of our financial support given to them, would be returned by them and given to some groups or personalities in Iran in order to prevent or to oppose such relations by creating a hostile social or political image in the medias.

In other words, Iran’s creation and its strategical ally could very well be acting against our national interests.

20 years ago and after Iran-Iraq war, when Rafsanjani was president, every european country along with russia and china were after signing huge financial and economical deals with Iran after Iran was ravaged by 8 years of war and poor policies during Mousavi’s era. But Rafsanjani was interested to open dialogue with US. This interest during his presidency was against the longterm benefits of many inside the ruling class ( Leftist Islamists ) and for special interest groups in US and even in some european countries. Then an event came to the aid of all those who opposed rapprochement between these two countries; Salman Rushdie’s satanic verses!

A book that was written a year earlier and had created some noise in Pakistan and was about to be forgotten, suddenly became a big deal. Those who were close to religious centres in Iran demanded a clear fatwa from religious authorities and they got it. Khomeini issued the fatwa against Salman Rushdie and an institute ( Bonyade 15 Khordad ) headed by Ayatollah Saneie ( who interestingly is one of Mir Hossein Mousavi strongest supporters now) became responsible to carryout the fatwa and it even awarded a lot of money for anyone if they killed Rushdie.

This led to a diplomatic disaster. Most of the european countries took a step back and called their diplomates from Tehran. Any hope of rapprochement was lost by a very clever public campaign that ensured the longterm interests of themselves and their foreign allies in Russia and some european countries.

It seems history is repeating itself again and just when another president is trying to open a new era between the two governments, another issue has popped up by those who would be the eventual losers of such ties.

1- The stoning verdict of Sakineh Mohammadi Ashtiyani.
2- The Quran burning campaign by a church of 50 followers on 9/11 anniversary.

Do you honestly believe the european union cares about a women who is about to be executed for adultery and murdering her husband? Or do you believe that those who are defending this verdict in Iran are honestly doing it because they want to defend Islamic laws?
……
Or perhaps these are pieces of the same puzzle that are completing each other exactly when Ahmadinejad is heading to New York with an offer to open dialogue with US ?!

If you were Obama, would you even consider talking to a person when the entire european union is criticizing its barbaric laws ? Even his secretary of state ( foreign minister ) with obvious ties to the israeli lobbies in Washington, calls his government a military dictatorship? ( Knowing fully that the description is far from the truth when Ahmadinejad presidency is over in less than 3 years?! ).

What if you were Ahmadinejad? Would you even consider offering dialogue in New York when the most holiest of books are being burnt in the same city you are about to visit?

Interestingly, when you search the ” Religious Green ” ( the same leftist islamist crowd ) sites and newspapers, you notice they are adding fuel to this fire. Look at jonbesheh rahe sabz website. Look at khabar online which had an article from Abolfazl Faateh ( a close Mousavi ally in the last election, I will post some of his article right after this blog ), look at the recent fatwas they asked about from religious leaders, look at the recent letter an Ayatollah has written which demands Obama to stand trial.

In my opinion, the same events which prevented normalization of ties between US and Iran are happening again. Without dialogue, the chances for more radical solutions increases whether this relates to Iran’s or US foreign policies ( possibility of war ) or how we deal with our internal adversaries. Expect to see more radical changes initiated by Ahmadinejad and how he deals with this problem.

 

Meet Iranian Singles

Iranian Singles

Recipient Of The Serena Shim Award

Serena Shim Award
Meet your Persian Love Today!
Meet your Persian Love Today!