Given that the three former heads of state in Egypt have been military men, it is way too early to see what the Egyptian military will do. However, there are lessons to be drawn from the forced abdication–30 year presidency is an inside joke–of Hosni Mubarak.
Lesson one, people matter, and many unified persistent people matter most.
Lesson two, unambiguous international backing matter and the U.S. matters most.
Lesson three, money matter, and when the sources of income for many fatcats are put in jeopardy, status quo is overlooked allowing change to take shape.
12 million Egyptians live off tourism industry which makes up 20% of the national economy. Except a fraction, Egypt’s tourism is mostly owned by big money Egyptians. The same folks who had their camel mounted thugs attacking the peaceful protesters. The upheaval quickly dried up the sea of tourists flocking to Egypt. No foreign tourist was in effect a de facto economic sanctions which poured fuel on the burning fire of discontent.
Those Iranians and others who wish to see change in Iran, they might ponder this basic fact. Until the troubles began to hit some big pocketbooks, the Egyptian military was in no mood for changing anything.
The weaponized nuke acquiring messianic Islamist Rapists who rule over Iran and Iranians are despised internally and detested internationally. The regime of IRR, the Islamist Rapist Republic, pays for all its criminal activities with petro dollars.
It does not take a genius to figure out what needs to be done to break the status quo in IRR. Just look at Egypt and what broke the camel’s back. If anyhting, the Islamist Rapists in Iran are even more vulnerable to sanctions, their lifeline is blood oil and gas.
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