Are you frustrated of the news from Egypt? Are you saying to yourself, “why can’t we do what the secular people of Egypt did in Tahrir Square as they stood up against religious fanatics Nasr City.”
Why can’t Iranians all go to Azadi Square and the Shiite fanatics all assemble in Qom City? Cameras can decide from outer space as we light up the sky.
Ahh …. and then there is the phrase “coup d’etat”. It is up there as the most emotionally sensitive media word. People in Iran, have had up to three “coup d’etats”, depending which political point of view you have. And there is one more to come.
The first “coup d’etat”.
If your view is left wing or Communist, and Iranian culture comes after democracy, then you would think, what Reza Shah did, in getting the military out in front of the parliament, was wrong.
Hmm … hold on. Let’s back track a bit.
Reza Shah never wanted to be crowned. He wanted to become the first President of Iran, after my ancestor abdicated. But the Shiite politicians, decided, that they can’t have another Kamal Ataturk, who might kill them all.
Iranian 1906 Constitution, restricts the King as a Constitutional Monarch. What better way to lock up a Titan like Reza Khan? Once they locked him up, the Shiite politicians, decided to pass their religious laws. It got out of control. People were mad. So the King got the guns out for the people and Iran’s culture. Is that a “coup d’etat”? Yes because the military was involved, say the Communists. Hmm …
See the parallel to Egypt.
The same happened to Morsi. He was appointing religious fanatics, and was going to have Sharia finance set up. His economic plans were awful, but he ignored calls for new elections. What was he worried about? Look at Italy. How many governments do the Italians go through in a year?
So people power took over in Egypt. Twenty million people signed a petition, and then got out in the streets. It shocked the religious fanatics, who had Sharia finance behind them. They saw the military in the streets and cried “coup d’etat”. Their TV stations like Al-Jazeera and BBC were interviewing all the anti-US commentators. They wanted Obama to say it was a “coup d’etat”, which would stop the military funding. It is all about funding in Egypt and in Iran.
The third “coup d’etat”.
Some say Mossadegh was Iran’s Morsi. He was denied. Not quite. He had all kinds of funny ideas for the oil business. On the day of the great vote, that he got “elected”, three quarters of the members of parliament abstained. But the left wing will not tell you that. So his government was not valid. But the left wing will call it a “coup d’etat” because they saw military in the streets. But it was Mossadegh who held a “coup d’etat” from within.
Two more “coup d’etats” to go. In 1979, Shiite fanatic Khomeini, suckered all the future wanna-be politicians of Iran, to be the symbol of the revolution of the new Iran. He said he would be killed if he returned. So they built a Shiite military force for him, just like Morsi’s Moslem Brotherhood. Shiite militia went into the streets, just like Morsi’s MB. They overwhelmed police. There was a national emergency. But it was not called a “coup d’etat”. BBC called it “people power” for a Saint.
This Shiite Saint was now in trouble. He offered to settle with the National Army of Iran. They agreed. Once they had disarmed, he shot them all. BBC still called him a Saint, after literally cut people head off.
Enough of history. By now you know where I am coming from.
The last “coup d’etat”.
Last month, we had a Shiite politician in Iran, get the benefit of the doubt, and attract the vote of the silent majority. He won on the least worst option ticket just like Morsi. But he has yet to go down the same bumpy road Morsi went through. His Shiite military kept the peace just like MB did for Morsi. The silent majority of Iran just about tolerated them.
Rouhani will have promises to keep. The economic clock will be ticking. He needs to negotiate the release of people under house arrest. He will need to appoint both liberal Shiite and conservative Shiite politicians. The conservatives will end up being appointed more. It sounds just like Morsi’s predicament last year, as he appointed more MBs. At some point it will all go horribly wrong, as the liberal Shiite politicians complained and walk out. New elections will be called for. It won’t happen as a fourth “coup d’etat” had happened from within.
The silent majority will roar in Azadi Square. Yeah!
