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Payless paydays finally hits Iran's military--not without consequences

EA is reporting that members of Iran's military haven't been paid in the last month.

 

It's surely not the only reason they are becoming disaffected.   Other elements that the regime could rely on in 2009 (the working class, the religious) may not be so reliable now should the volcano erupt.  

 

Without those elements the regime lacks any equivalent to the limited if reliable base that has kept Assad afloat so far (Alawites, Christian, Druze).  Where is Iran's equivalent?

 

Finally, a failed economy remains a political problem not only because of its present harsh consequences but because of a now widely shared perception that the problem is incurable so long as the IRI exists and regardless of whether sanctions are lifted.  

 

In a subpost at Enduring America, I analyze why the regime's base has shrunk so badly since 2009 and why the economy can never really recover under mullah rule regardless of whether sanctions are lifted.   A recent article on Tehran Bureau showed why the latter may be very hard to do--even if the IRI met every demand on nukes--for another reason.

 

You'll find that subpost/analysis in Iran live coverage report at enduringamerica.com for Friday, December 28.   The new format makes it impossible to post the whole article or even a link to it here.   

 

I also recommend you look up an Arab News article entitled "Blogger's Death sparks national outrage in Iran."  It includes interesting details of the torture Sattar Behesti endured (like so many other political prisoners.  Again, I'd have posted a link if it were possible but this is the best I can do.

 

Balatarin

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FG3049

FG3049

To Said re: link to the post

I'm sure it would be helpful but some links would be very long and hard to copy. Unless I've run into a different obstacle than anyone else here I find it impossible under the new setup which no longer allows one to copy and paste from a URL or from something written elsewhere. Some URL addresses are lenghty and hard to copy.

Nor can I write something here and post it elsewhere which is why I no longer try until copy and paste becomes possible here.

SaidAmin

Saïd Amin Saïd Amin is a tech entrepreneur born in Tehran, Iran. He is the founder/CEO of World Singles Networks, a leading provider of niche online dating services and the Publisher of Iranian.com.

Try the following service for shortening your links: http://bitly.com/ - also, when drafting a blog, you can highlight any word(s) and assign a hyperlink to it. When drafting your blog, highlight the word(s) you wish to hyperlink, click the chain icon (5th icon from right to left - YouTube icon being the first one), and insert your link. Hope that helps.

Fyi, for me to receive a notification that you mentioned me, simply write my name in this manner -> @SaidAmin

sayyad.shaer

Sayyad Sha'er visit: www.sayyadshaer.com

There will be a counter-revolution in Iran soon after the Syrian episode is over. That is the plan; the West is by and large content with a nuclear Iran so long as the regime or its hardliners are not in power any longer; hence why they are building up a Sunni extremist Arab buffer zone in Egypt, Syria, Palestine, Tunisia, and Libya to add to the Saudi-Jordanian-Gulf-Arab axis against Iran and Shi'a Iraq.

SaidAmin

Saïd Amin Saïd Amin is a tech entrepreneur born in Tehran, Iran. He is the founder/CEO of World Singles Networks, a leading provider of niche online dating services and the Publisher of Iranian.com.

A link to your subpost at Enduring America would be helpful. Thanks!

FG3049

FG3049

I was going to ask, "How did you manage that?" As I did, I found out that I can do so now only because I'm using Internet Explorer not Google's Chrome which I prefer.