THE NORTH & NORTHWEST: Idlib is doomed. About 75% percent of Aleppo in rebel hands. The fall of Deir Al Zor's and most regime energy supplies with it is also a matter of time. None of these areas can expect resupply by land. Meanwhile air bases are being lost one by one.
DAMASCUS & SUBURBS: Eastern Damascus has been almost solidly "rebel" for some time. Having failed to take back Darayya, Assad's forces are losing other southwestern suburbs. The attack on Al Qadam not only appears to have failed but is starting to look like a nifty rebel victory. That will have morale and manpower consequences for both sides.
NEARBY CITIES: Regime offensives in Hamas and Homs appear to be going nowhere. Look for increasing rebel strength in both, decreasing regime strength in both. Rebel control of Homs or part of it will cut off land supply and reinforcements between Damascus and the coast.
THE COAST: Latakia was to be a safe refuge yet the rebels have captured the surrounding countryside and their numbers continue to grow. Assuming the rebels can seal off the coast by taking blocking routes in Homs, Tartous and the rest have no chance of survival.
LOOKING AHEAD: Once Assad's forces are cut off from the coast and once they lose all offensive capacities their only choice is to hunker down as growing rebel forces shell them from nearby suburbs and snipers and defections erode their forces further.