SYRIANS SHOULD TRY PUTIN AND KHAMENEI IN ABSENTIA AFTER ASSAD'S FALL

If any of these three men ever put their foot in Syria or anywhere in the Arab world aside Iran they should all be arrested and extradited to Syria for trial. 

 

BLAME ASSESSMENT


The Three Enablers are almost equally responsible for how far destruction and death went in Syria.  When historians evaluate blame afterward, Putin and Assad deserve first place with Khamenei only a tad behind. Without Putin's strategic recommendations destruction could not have gone so far.   Ditto, had Assad said "No" to such advice. Khamenei comes in third by a whisker. He didn't suggest the strategy but--fell over himself to go along. 


KHAMENEI: I've seen folks mention--on occasion--that he has not visited the West for so much as a single day since taking office.  But has anyone ever considered that Khamenei has not even visited any other country--not even Hezbollah Lebanon or pre-March 2010 Syria.  That suggests a strange dog, a man with a screw loose, a true nutso-xenophobe. Is it any wonder he persecutes Iranian minorities and dreads the slightest reform at home as deeply as he fears traveling abroad? The problem for most Iranians is they must suffer the consequences of his phobias.

 

 PUTIN: After the rebel victory PUTIN will assure everyone that "It wasn't my idea."  Common sense says otherwise.  Who invented the Chechnya Strategy, unique as a fingerprint?  Vlad guaranteed that "what worked for me in Chechnya will work for you in Syria."  This is the very same man who supported--without reservation--Milosevic's ethnic cleansing and torture of relatively scular and tolerant Muslims in Bosnia and Kosovo where intermarriage rates were as high as 33 percent.

 

ASSAD: Perisisting in the Chechnya strategy hardly makes sense under the present dire circumstances.  Yet Assad persists in illusions as doom approaches and there is nowhere to flee.  Syria is not Chechnya.  If a military strategy to be effective, it cannot ignore variables--especially massive ones.

 

"CHECHNYA STRATEGY": WHAT WENT WRONG IN SYRIA?

 

The strategy goes like this: "Make life so miserable by creating so much destruction and death the enemy will have no choice but to come to the table."  Yes, it worked in Chechnya but the situation was so different.


Unlike Syrians, the Russians were slaughtering  "outsiders" in Chechya--doubly so in the sense  the enemy consisted almost exlusively of extreme Islamists who had previously blown up Russian hospitals and mowed down Russian schoolchildren. 

 

In Chechnya the rebels were losing badly at the time they came to the table.  In Syria, the situation is the exact opposite.

 

Putin's military base--unlike Assad's--remained secure and intact a thousand miles the borders.  

 

In Chechnya rebels arms, training and numbers were decreasing, not increasing. 

 

 

Balatarin
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From Emdur1715 GMT: Rebels Advance in Jobar. We were so busy yesterday that we did not have a chance to post it, but on the night of February 11th, sources tell us that the Syrian rebels managed to break into a military barracks in Jobar, east of Damascus, (we're not exactly sure which complex) and capture dozens of Assad officers.

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Meanwhile, in Aleppo, rebels continue to press their attack against the base of the 8oth regiment, and the Aleppo International Airport that the base guards. According to activists, most of the base is in rebel hands. The video below shows snipders near the road of the airport:

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There is now growing evidence that the secular Free Syrian Army and the more moderate Islamist groups formed a new alliance in the south, to the exclusion of Jabhat al Nusra, to receive new weapons from the outside and to prepare to capture Damascus. We've posted a separate analysis: