Most of the “powerful” diaspora dissident groups, including the Pahlavi, Rajavi and Communists have not much appeal in Iran (each in the order of 1%). But unfortunately, they can distract people from fighting IRI; and even worse be used by IRI as the Boogeyman, to scare people from their struggle for democracy, and to label all the opposition under the unappealing titles of “Shahi, Monafegh and Commonist”.
Those groups, however, have a democratic right to express their voices, and participate in the demonstrations and gatherings. But it would be better to see them carrying on more Action, and less Posturing. It will be better for them and for everyone, if they organize more and show-off less.
Have a look at how Khomeini organized his opposition and won Iran in 1979. He was very low-key, humble and even inclusive in his approach, not insisting on any point, except: “Shah Must Go”! He basically aimed for the narrow base of the Imperial Iran’s inverted power pyramid, and very wisely, did not bother with much else.
Today, an equally simple approach can work too, but it must be inclusive. For example, “Death to IRI” will exclude all the reformists. Restoring monarchy, or bringing MEK to power or establishing Communism will be even less appealing.
In light of the biggest IRI weakness (Shiite ideology), I can think of the following three-prong approach:
1. Free all political prisoners;
2. Human rights for all Iranians;
3. Khamenei must go!
Those three, parallel the very successful slogans of the past revolution.
The human rights issue was first publicized by President Carter, and fully utilized by the opposition in the 1976-79 period. Women in Iran are systematically and institutionally abused, and have courageously given us the most prominent human rights fighters.
Release of all political prisoners, was a simple and strong demand, which once granted in the autumn of 1978, created a sense of strength and accomplishment. Mothers of political prisoners have been the most vocal group in fearlessly exposing the IRI abuses and brutalities in the prison system.
Very unwisely, Khamenei (like Shah) has now placed himself and his position of Velayat, right at the center of governance and oppression. Therefore, #3 can work against him too. Khamenei has become the symbol of ruthless Shiite dictatorship, and would be best replaced by a woman leader … symbol of the more tolerant and humane side of Iran.
Finally, the killing mentality and the death-worship among Iranian males, is too strong to prevent us from tearing ourselves and the whole country asunder. Hence there is a real need for a Lady Leader who can help us through the process of reform, reconciliation and renaissance.
Susan khanom and Ghamar khanom need not apply!
