Israeli Analyst: Israel Will Strike Iran

Ronen Bergman speaks to Fareed Zakaria

04-Mar-2012
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Rea

Israel will strike IRI

by Rea on

IRI will strike Israel.

Just as ridiculous. The question of all questions is: which one is more ridiculous ?


مآمور

good to see some good iranians

by مآمور on

I see people like VPK who geniunlly love their homeland and care about it. To me, regardless of your political affiliations, if u r concerned and not just following your idealogy(like MEK) u r my good fellow iranian.

let me put those honest people-or try to- at ease.

how long has it been that u have been hearing and discussing a possibile attack on Iran?

I, personally, heard first time in March 2003, begining of Iraq invasion, what about u???

After u answered the above ask yourself another question: why has it not happened yet?

my answer is due to what VPK called "fire cracker"!!!!

An old firend of mine who is from province of Khuzestan and always out on a boat once told me " when we see american ships we get happy, the bigger the ship the happier we r"!! go and figure!!!

some technicality: if US wants to attack Iran, they will take their big ships out of the persian gulf-they r just too big and too easy to target.

I,personally, loss no sleep, giving i have my extended family back there, on this old repeated zionist propaganda!!!

DO NOT WORRY

I wear an Omega watch


Veiled Prophet of Khorasan

Fooling yourself on the pro IRI side

by Veiled Prophet of Khorasan on

 

Just as pro Israel side is mistaken so is pro IRI side. Don't think IRI fire crackers are a match for USA. We heard all the business about Saddam and his "war seasoned" troops and they vanished in days when hit by America.

IRI may be able to resist air attacks by Israel but has no chance against America. That is why Israel should keep out of this. I hope it does not come to it buf if it does it should be America. And it should be regime change. Otherwise a waste.


Reality-Bites

Every decent Iranian wants to see the end of the IR

by Reality-Bites on

But an attack by Israel (or the US) would only help the IR. Khamenei and gang are pushing for a confrontation. They've been doing it, bit by bit, for over 30 years. They would love an Israeli attack. What better way to demonstrate to the world the agression of the "Zionist" state against the supposedly "peace loving" Muslim Islamic Republic.

The US military is overstretched, the American people are tired and fed up with war and their soldiers getting killed, the US economy is in a serious downturn, the world opinion is already very anti-US when it comes to invasion of other countries. In addition to all that, the already record level price of oil, would go through the roof in the event of a major conflict and its impact on fragile world economy would be difficult to contain.

The Mollahs know this. And they know that the US will not commit to another full scale ground invasion of another country, which would be the only external military option that would topple the IR. Israel does not have the resources to mount a ground invasion of Iran. So, the only viable military option for Israel/US is to air bomb the nuke sites.

So what would be the aftermath of any air strikes?

- Iranian people , including many who hate the IR, with their land violated, pride hurt and with possibly some casualties, would get behind the IR.

- IR's nuke program, even if seriously damaged - far from certain due to how deep underground the bases are - would get delayed, at best, by up to two years, but likely to be back on track within months.

- IR gets near world wide sympathy from many countries previously critical of its rule, which would make future strikes very unlikely.

- IR can continue to use external threats/war etc as an excuse to divert attention from its internal tyranny.

- IR intensifies its repression and anyone who opposes IR inside Iran gets branded a traitor, accused of being in the service enemies of Iran and is immediately (and probably very violently) eliminated.

In short my friends, military strikes on Iran = bad for Iranian people = good for the IR.


amirparvizforsecularmonarchy

Is it just me or does this guy Ronen look like Anakin Skywalker

by amirparvizforsecularmonarchy on

There is some resemblance, no?  Freaky!

Oh and on bombing Iran, FYI-for those of you that weren't paying attention, Iran died in 1979, this is about bombing the people that are the hostages of these terrorists, courtesy of Jimmy C.  On bombing hostages, isn't that a sin alike beating a sick person?  Why not give this idea a Try for a change, support the secular democratic aspirations of the iranian people by giving legitimate Iranian opposition a chance at causing regime change.  Just a thought, its a lot less of a headache than supporting religious extremists like the west has been doing and is doing yet again in libya and syria.  The most important issue is what IRAN should look like the day after.  We all know this isn't going to happen through bombs, please keep this in mind....  //www.bigtravelweb.com/images/mexico-beaches-...

 


Soosan Khanoom

Iran is not an easy ride.

by Soosan Khanoom on

This war is easier to start than to end, and sooner or later Israel will sow the wind only to reap the hurricane.  But, sadly, in the midst of this aggression, Iran will be ruined and many innocents Iranians will be killed.  I cannot comprehend anyone who calls himself / herself an Iranian and seek a war of aggression towards Iran by Israel.  

I support those who stand against aggression and say NO to the war and I am quite pleased to find so many of you on this site.   Many thanks for your presence, you reasons, and your comments. 


Veiled Prophet of Khorasan

Mollahs are dumb

by Veiled Prophet of Khorasan on

 

the problem is their supporters are dumber; mean and armed. You don't need much intelligence to intimidate normal people. Just a really big stick and a total lack of humanity.


hirre

The west is trying so hard

by hirre on

The west is trying so hard to sanction Iran so it is "forced" to start the war. Iran is desperately trying to avoid starting the war. If Iran is seen as a starter of the war the IR will be finished easily. It's a dare game, how can take to most hits without starting a war...


Benyamin

Israel wont attack Iran "alone"!!!

by Benyamin on

If Israel attack Iran by himself the consequence of that attack is too big for Israel! There is already instability in Syria which ironiaclly would work for the Asad regime because they would use Israelie attack on Iran as an "existantial" reason to attack Israel. the bottle of hate that currently is pointing at Iran and Syria and Russia and China within Syrian population would almost instantly point at Israel, Saudies and all other nationality including the Turks!!!

Now the question is why would Israel wanna do that? why going after a regime when even all of intelligence communities or organizations agree does not have atomic bomb?

either Israel is bluffing but by bluffing is telling the world powers that if you don`t sanction Iran even further more we could make the price of oil even three times higher!

I wonder what US would do? because clearly China and Russia are on the side of Iran and that could become problematic because whatever they have co-operated with the west would also vanish in an instant and they would no longer support the sanctions!

Also Turkey will find itself between a rock and a hard place and even could no longer support the sanctions! Israel would almost not attack Iran by certain unless somehow it drags the US to it which I doubt it.

I believe the Israeli planes will be shut down by the Americans and that message had been delieved to the Israeli army almost two years ago!!!


alx1711

Why would Israel want to

by alx1711 on

Why would Israel want to spend billions on instigating a war, where they can easily send assassins to Iran finishing Mullahs!

If Israel attacks Iran this will give Mullahs an ultimate excuse to arm themselves and showing the word that Israel is the aggressor thus providing the grounds for mullahs to make a nuclear Bomb.

One point that needs to be looked on is that Mullahs aren't dumb and if they were they wouldn't have been able to rule over Iran over 30yrs.


kazem0574

If Israel Attacks Iran

by kazem0574 on

 

Sequence

1)    It will move its forces right into all territories where Hamas or Hezballah could attack it and end that threat.
2)    Its agents inside Iran will start a campaign of destruction and chaos
3)    It will hit air defences followed by the nuclear sites ONLY

Result

  • IRI will blind fire rockets at Israeli towns indiscriminately killing hundreds if not thousands of Israelis.
  • Israel will retaliate with indiscriminate attack on Iran’s towns killing even more of our people.They have ground to ground rockets too they also have submarines for missile attacks.
  • IRI will gain people’s backing. When you start seeing thousands of Iranian lives and historic assets destroyed on your TVs,relatives telling you your family are dead you will start to feel differently too.
  • The regional consequences of all this, could be attempts by IRI to stop oil getting out of the Persian Golf which will bring even more misery and destruction to Iran and Iranians.
  • There will be shortage of food, water, electricity, medical care.

 

But one thing is clear. IRI will be there when the dust settles. Many of our people and family dead, a lot of what we know and love destroyed.


????????????IS THIS WHAT SOME OF YOU WANT ???????????


default

Here's the bottom line on attacking Iran

by farrad02 on

Any military attack on Iran by Israel, US, NATO, or a combination of these powers (regardless of it's size, scope or duration) that leaves the IRI regime in power, has handed it a huge victory.

They will survive and become stronger! And they will have all the justification they need to erect their nuclear program once again and complete their plans at a later time. But in the process, they will use the threat of war to eliminate the remainder of political opposition and kill off anyone and everyone who is still opposing their rule!

It is 100% certain that IRI has contingency plans, duplicated and made backups of everything related to their nuclear projects, since the threat of military attacks have been real for a number of year!

Aganin, by attacking them, you'll only make them stronger!

The only way to deal with this issue is to make the biggest historic move. Ask Saudis, Iranians, Egyptians, and yes, Israelis, too, to sit down and negotiate giving up existing and future nuclear capabilities!

You can't let Israel keep its nukes and attack Iran for MAY BE wanting to have them!

 


shushtari

I also agree with vpk....

by shushtari on

israel does not care about freedom for iran and it's people....

but at this point in iran's history- where a military attack is very likely on our homeland- we have been put in this position AS A DIRECT RESULT OF THE DISASTEROUS RULE OF THE AKHOONDS-

the blame of putting iran and it's people in danger of being attacked LIES SQUARELY ON THE filthy head of khamenei, khomeini, and the rest of the idiots who invaded our nation 33 years ago.

their disasterous reign has been symbolized by death, oppression, despair, embarrassment, and every other miserable 'word' you can think of- iran is in danger of being attacked because of these fools- let's not forget that 


Benyamin

WHO WOULD HAVE THUNK IT!!!

by Benyamin on

MAYBE 2012 IS THE END OF THE WORLD!!!


Veiled Prophet of Khorasan

Broken record

by Veiled Prophet of Khorasan on

 

Why do people keep repeating this *** once a week? I am getting sick just hearing it. Too many loudmouth politicians and "journalists". Obama took out OBL without announcing it 100 times beforehand.

This approach by both Israeli and IRI wind bags is a load of garbage. Anyone who thinks Israel is either able or wants to "Liberate" Iran needs a reality check. Israel is not interested in helping us in any way. Their leaders view us all with deep mistrust.

Hirre is right: Israel will not do a damn thing without US approval. It is physically impossible for them to attack IRI without going over US controlled space. Obama is planning his own thing and will not tolerate interference.


maziar 58

caution

by maziar 58 on

All the talks about even any possibility of a military attack on IRAN is just means prolonging the grips of mollahs.

no war,sanction and B S talk is needed

Just expell and close all Iranian (IRR) offices world wide

No harms to any individuals.

 Maziar


shushtari

i agree completely....

by shushtari on

with simorgh....

I hate to say it, it has come down to military attack on the akhoonds and their filthy bodyguards, to rid iran of this cancer.....I wish they were like the shah, and would get up and leave- but even after 33 years of raping iran, and stealing hundreds of billions of dollars of our country's wealth, they still want more!

and simorgh is right in that israel is not just going to hit the nuke sites- they know if they leave the mullahs' military in tact, they will be able to retaliate- so it will be a near death blow, and hopefully, iranians will be able to finish the rest of the job!  I would surely participate if it comes to that!

let's hope 2012 is iran's turn for freedom 


مآمور

با اجازه حافظ

مآمور


 بنمای رخ که باغ و گلستانم آرزو است
بگشای لب که قند فروان ام آرزو است
گفت یافت نمیشود جسته ایم ما
گفتم آنکه یافت نمیشودم آرزو است

I wear an Omega watch


Bavafa

Dear Reality-Bites: I applaud your cool head ….

by Bavafa on

And sensible response.   That is exactly how I and I believe majority of Iranians think and feel about an attack for the foreign forces, specially Israel.

  

Such talk of attack on Iran is ought to be condemn as warmongering.

 

 

'Hambastegi' is the main key to victory 

Mehrdad


default

Hot Air

by Sialashgar on

Israel is full of shit they don't have the gut to  attack Iran. 


Simorgh5555

Reality Bytes

by Simorgh5555 on

Any Israeli attack on the IR will not be confined to just the nuclear sites. Targets will also include the IR's ability to retaliate and therefore key Sepah mlitary sites will have to be destroyed. This will leave the Khamenei's regime colossally damaged giving the impetus to freedom seeking Iranians to bring it down. You are right about Israep not being in the liberating business-no country is. However, regatdless of your opinion regarding Israel or her policies in the Middle East freedom seekimg Iranians share a common goal: regime change. The IR is not an existential threat to Israel even though it is a huge thorn in its side, but I want the IR gone. I want it to be deatroyed and the only country which can help facilitate this hoal regardless of their divergent goals is Israel. No question about it. Personally, I would prefer it if the Israelis would simply say that they want regime change rather than concoct some WMD nonsense all over again.


Sean-K

Simorgh5555 do 'us' a favor please

by Sean-K on

And by 'us' I mean the great majority of Iran loving Iranians - do NOT use the word 'we' in sentences such as 'We should stand side by side with Israel if it launches an attack on the IR', as the LAST thing 'we' would want is to be forced to side with one evil against a greater evil - and make no mistake, we shall.

Thank you in advance for the care I anticipate you will take in wording your future comments my dear hamvatan.


choghok

hitting nuclear site would not succeed

by choghok on

they are buried deep inside mountains, Israelis have to fly long way and have to be few. Even they themselves do not see airstrike stopping just slowing down. They just need to kill 2-3 people at the top for IRI getting into fight in between mullahs and revolutionary guards And that and economic sanction weakens IRI to take correct actions.


Reality-Bites

Simorgh

by Reality-Bites on

Your hope is misplaced. If Israel does strike, its target will NOT be the Basij and Sepah.

Israel is not in the business of liberating the Iranian people from the repression of the IR. Israel is only interested in neutralising IR's nuke program. Therefore, Israel will only target IR's nuclear installations and probably some of the Iran's anti-air defence/radar bases which may threaten Israeli jets.

And the end result, aside from some temporary damage to IR's nuke bases, will be a rise in support for the IR by many in the Iranian population, who otherwise would've been anti-IR.

No external military option, short of a full ground invasion, which will result in the destruction of much of Iran and deaths of many thousands, will remove the Mollahs from power.


Arash Kamangir

IRAN IS WORSE OFF THAN ARABS IN 1967!

by Arash Kamangir on

IR has hardly any modern air force and naval forces and thier army is not a modern army either. I think a war with Iran with or without USA will not last long. Israel will get also through this as they have done in other difficult times. All the best for Israel in fight against Evil IR.


Simorgh5555

hirre

by Simorgh5555 on

Let's hope you are wrong. Netanyahu should target the Basij and Sepah. Israel is the only country which is willing to directly confront the IR albeit for it own national interest. We should stand side by side with Israel if it launches an attack on the IR.

NETANYAHU FIGHT THE IR AND WE ARE WITH YOU.


hirre

blablabla... israel will

by hirre on

blablabla... israel will not lift a finger if the US isn't ready to 100 % back them up... Iran is not a "6-days-war"...