Leaked: NSP assessment of Montezeri funeral and Ashura expectations
Mik Verbrugge
23-Dec-2009

NSP estimates over 800,000 people participated in Qom funeral procession (80% of them were from Qom surroundings & NajafAbad). Almost 3 Million mourning people gathered nationwide, despite news & broadcast ban.

For Ashura, NSP estimates  well over 2 Million in Tehran & up to 8 Million nationwide.

According to 17th Division of Qom’s Analysis (among others), around 70% of ordinary ppl who mourned clearly sympathized with green movement, of which more than half is now considering taking an active role on Ashura.

Level of animosity towards regime&SL displayed by masses, and level of sympathy shown by security forces towards protesters, worry the panel.

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