Mr. President: Told you so!
by
David ET 07-Jul-2009
Last week vice president Joe Biden was sent to ABC news to report that the Obama administration
"misread how bad the economy was" and that the reported 9.5 percent unemployment rate is
"much too high", considering the the administration had predicted unemployment would stay below 8 percent with all of "its stimulus plan" . After ALL this was supposed to be about "jobs, jobs and more jobs"!
Last week it was also reported that large firms such as Citibank etc who were beneficiary of billions of taxpayer handouts are still as weak as they have ever been and after ALL the government may have to let some fail. It was also reported that many of the US states including California are on the verge of being bankrupt, Housing data were also nothing to cheer about and that the US forces were starting to leave Iraq just to continue with new US interventionism in Afghanistan and with the money that we do not have! Lets also not forget that despite all the taxpayers money that was thrown at the car makers , GM still ended up filling bankruptcy and Ford is reported to be very weak.
Four Months ago in an article titled "Mr. Obama: Tear down this wall" I warned "This printing of billions of green paper out of thin air , this policy of borrowing billions more to maintain a wasteful failed economic system " and the bail out of failed corporations and banks "will only lengthen the painful suffering of millions of people resulting in the eventual collapse of dollar"
I wrote that Obama administration should "stop feeding the TOP of the pyramid hoping that the thieves will pass it on to THE PEOPLE.". I wrote "The writing is already on the "wall". See where the billions that we already have allocated have gone?! Where are the new jobs? Where are the new loans? "
In a series of article I wrote a whole lot more and I even made some introductory proposal on how to get out of the mess . I very much encourage you to read them again 4 months later (
//iranian.com/main/blog/david-et/mr-obama-tear-down-wall) and (
//iranian.com/main/blog/david-et/obanomics-print-green-and-spend ). Considering that I was come out of campaigning for Obama, the reactions to my views by some Obama zealots on Daily Kos or on this site were not too kind and some others just said give him a chance and that we should wait and see what happens to which I replied no we shouldn't wait, what is wrong today will go even more wrong tomorrow .
Things are not any better yet. The stimulus money that was borrowed from us and the future generations will eventually finish and President Obama will ask for more and the final result will remain to be the same. But it is still not way too late to "change" this failing course but sadly after confessing, Mr. vice president last week continued with these words: " but we are now only about 120 days into the recovery package....we believe it is the right package given the circumstances we're in."
Meanwhile I continue to claim that the current (same old) approach will not "change" the outcome but will only delay it , just to be faced with even worse. Meanwhile once again we heard the words "we misread" , same thing that we have been hearing again and again for the past few years but from different mouths and different sides.
In March I also wrote that some of us have been watching for the the past few years "the deck of gambling cards fall one after another and while the government, the Wall Street, the professional analysts, the CEO’s, the Congressmen and Senators of BOTH parties, Fed Chairman's and many people kept denying the inevitable. "
Final Poll results
by David ET on Thu Jul 09, 2009 11:33 PM PDTmajority of those who took the poll were readers of Daily Kos (democrat) website.
Poll
Do you think the current government economic plans will save the economy?
We're heading for disaster. 31% 48 votes I don't know but let's give him a chance 29% 45 votes Obama is on the right track 38% 58 votes151 votes
Big Boy
by David ET on Thu Jul 09, 2009 02:55 AM PDTyour so called logic applies to anyone , which means we should just stay quiet no matter who is in power Obama , Bush or Khamenei.
Just change Obama's name in your comment to someone else that you do not support and discover your own hypocricy!
Big Boy
by Kaveh Nouraee on Wed Jul 08, 2009 01:21 PM PDTMeet you back here in November. You bring the coffee, I'll bring the pastries.
Kaveh
by Big Boy on Wed Jul 08, 2009 12:32 PM PDTOnly time will tell. The "luxury" is in reference to neither you nor I are setting policy...we're observers. As in, we don't work in the Obama admin. So, we can side with, or blame Obama on anything and everything.
In my opinion, the price of doing nothing would have been 14% unemployment right now instead of 9.5%. But, we can't prove that either, we'll just never know. But, if this condition persists in 2012 you have the option of "firing the bum" and hiring a republithug (sorry, I let my biases get in the way)...maybe Romney, or Palin *sigh*
I'll defend the Obama policies because it also happens to be inline with my own economic views. These are unprecedented times in the global economic order not ever seen before (given the complexity of the global economy can't even compare with the 1930s and the depression).
Up to now, I think Obama has done well to "slow" the job losses (still forward momentum...we'll probably see 11%) and then eventually reverse it. You can't make the Titanic stop and change course on a dime. So, lets wait a little more than 120 days...maybe 240 days and see where we are at.
Abarmard
by Kaveh Nouraee on Wed Jul 08, 2009 12:01 PM PDThave a safe trip.
dear Kaveh
by Abarmard on Wed Jul 08, 2009 11:49 AM PDTI can't prove you right or wrong. We can go back and forth about this subject. I find it interesting and the only thing that makes a lot of sense(similar conclusion as G20) is that regulations need to be revisited and modified. Everything else is not factual.I have not recently followed Obama's proposals to make any comments on it. I will check and if it sounds as you say, will call my rep asap. Sorry for the rush answer, I am at the airport
Thanks.
Big Boy
by Kaveh Nouraee on Wed Jul 08, 2009 11:31 AM PDTWhat about this strikes you as a "luxury"? The arrogance of your statement is astonshing.
I have financial obligations to meet in this economy. I'm sue you do as well. We all do.
Barack Obama is making $400,000 a year in it. Guaranteed. Plus, he will earn a presidential pension following his term. Even if he serves only one term.....he gets a pension.
So, with whom does the "luxury" rest?
This 9.5% unemployment will increase. Watch. More layoffs are coming. GM has still not emerged from bankruptcy. The 2,000 dealers that they are closing, the 800 that Chrysler closed, the factory workers, the employees of the suppliers and vendors, they haven't shown up on the unemployment rolls...yet.
If his plans were to somehow succeed, I'd be the first to say as much. But they won't. But when it is proven beyond a doubt that Obama's policies and his entire presidency is an abominable failure, will you stand up and say so?
There are a handful of his supporters who are already admitting their grievous error in judgment. Will you be among them or are you going to hold firm?
The luxury of being a contrarian...
by Big Boy on Wed Jul 08, 2009 11:15 AM PDT....with no real respnsibility is that you can oppose anything and everything Obama does. If his plans fail (or don't yield results immediately...in 120 days) you can say "I told you so". You're golden. If his plans succeed, well, we just won't hear from you.
Had he 'listened' to you, and instead of 9.5% unemployment the rate would have gone to 14%, I suspected you would have said: "hey, you're the president not me, why would listen to me to begin with...that's just stupid?"
So, you can be a critic, a supposed pundit, and gloat occasionally when the largest economic meltdown since the great depression isn't fixed in 120 days. I think the only problem Obama has created for himself is to set the bar way too high...again 120 days to fix the global financial meltdown. Bush, inadvertantly had it right. People applauded him if he could just walk straight. Nobody expected anything from him. People expect the world from Obama and I don't think he'll dumb it down...a true leader.
Biden again?
by capt_ayhab on Wed Jul 08, 2009 10:29 AM PDTThe biggest mistake Mr. Obama has made been having Biden as vp.
He just needs to shut up PERIOD.
-YT
Abarmard
by Kaveh Nouraee on Wed Jul 08, 2009 09:38 AM PDTOf course, tax cuts will have to be in conjunction with cuts in government spending. That is a fundamental principle of fiscal conservatism....a smaller, less intrusive government that is less of a financial burden on the citizenry.
And yes, spending cuts can be made. Real cuts, and not this $100 million farce Obama manufactured a couple of months ago. Start by demanding a full accounting of this $800 billion scam. Next, do not allow this recent talk of a second stimulus scam to materialize into anything further. Demand this from your senators and congresspeople. We are the bosses, they are our employees.
As far as regulations, government has proven that they are undoubtedly the worst proprietors of business. If the business of government were indeed a corporate entity, these officials would be locked up for embezzlement.
washington post
by David ET on Wed Jul 08, 2009 05:02 AM PDT//www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/07/07/AR2009070703182.html?hpid=topnews
drop of dollar past few months
by David ET on Wed Jul 08, 2009 04:34 AM PDT//quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=FOREX_USDBRL&v=d6
adam
by David ET on Wed Jul 08, 2009 03:56 AM PDT1- and you are?!
2- and how do you know I am not? What do you know about my knowledge, background and experience with market and economy?
3- Who got us in this mess? the qualified?
adios
Your're unquaified to have a meaningful opinion on this subject
by adam selzer (not verified) on Tue Jul 07, 2009 10:20 PM PDTHey David ET,
The best, brightest, and most unqualified have spoken on this issue. Did you listen? Opinions are like noses; everybody has one. By any measure you are not qualified to have a meaningful opinion on the matter of economics. So why don't you just stick to subjects that are close to your heart?
Viva la revolution!
Dear Kaveh
by Abarmard on Tue Jul 07, 2009 09:58 PM PDTCutting taxes would not work in this scenario. Unfortunately you can't just reduce taxes or let the market decide, as the invisible hand has already failed.
Obviously there is a need for more regulations that secure the future financial transactions. What you are mentioning here is not a solution.
NOTE: Cutting taxes without cutting spending does not do anything, No administration has been able to cut spending.
Today's financial crises are beyond the simple "tax cut" logic.
What would you do (Besides cutting taxes).
To participate in a poll that I created
by David ET on Tue Jul 07, 2009 03:33 PM PDTclick here
Results are almost even so far!Note Daily Kos is a very "democratic party" site.
Do you think the current government economic plans will save
We're heading for disaster.the economy?
31% 5
votes I don't know but let's give him
a chance 31% 5
votes Obama is on the right track
37% 6
votes
ps to iranian.com: Poll is another feature/option that you can add if you have the possibility!
I Told You So Before The Election!
by Kaveh Nouraee on Tue Jul 07, 2009 02:04 PM PDTAbarmard, you still fail to grasp the obvious.
The best option was, is and always will be to allow the market to correct itself naturally. That is the only way to ensure a restoration to normal cash flow.
I am boggled as to why you would even mention printing money. The deliberate devaulation of the dollar in order to say "we have cash" is fiscal suicide.
Yes, indeed, we are owned by the Chinese. And what do you think will be the cost to buy us back?
Whatever problems Obama "inherited" were exacerbated by this ridiculous stimulus package that has done absolutely nothing positive, unless you are the Chinese (and even THAT is questionable).
$800 billion plus interest and no jobs. And you say this is not a major mistake? This is a catastrophic failure!
You "hope" for consumer confidence to return, but how is consumer confidence going to return if people continue to be unemployed and have more joining them? Consumer confidence is directly related to the amount of disposable income people have. What is disposable income? The money left over after the monthly bills/obligations are paid.
After taxes.
Reduce the taxes, increase disposable income.
Increased disposable income = increased consumer confidence.
Increased consumer confidence = increased consumer spending = economic growth.
That's it! It isn't magic! It is not neurosurgery! It is 1+1=2.
But unless there are JOBS, it's all air! $800 billion! Where are the jobs we ordered?
Damn it, I get better results from PayPal than this idiot Obama!
And now you're hoping for the Chinese to do something "willingly"....for the economic benefit of the United States?
Sir, you have a far greater chance of winning the lottery than seeing the day when the Chinese give a damn about the U.S. economy.
Please show me one thing...just one thing...the government has owned or run that has been profitable.
The Postal Service? Amtrak?
Hello?
by ex programmer craig on Tue Jul 07, 2009 01:45 PM PDT...the economic collapse would have been massive and not just contained to the US.
No comment!
David ET
by AnonymousX (not verified) on Tue Jul 07, 2009 01:34 PM PDTI look forward to read about the next man or woman you'll pick as president for 2013. I think having gained some experience, you'll be less fanatic in defending him/her.
In 2008, you were warned repeatitively by some contributors that Obama is another "same old", both in domestic policies and also in foriegn policies related to Iran.
Now, you are admitting that they were correct. However, back then in 2008, you were so drunk by Obama's fales hopes that you just wouldn't listen.
Remember, "they told you so."
Too soon for "I told you so"
by Big Boy on Tue Jul 07, 2009 12:33 PM PDTHad the Obama administration not injected the massive stimulus into the economy, the economic collapse would have been massive and not just contained to the US. So, as much as you'd like to declare victory in "you vs. the Obama economic team", you are mistaken.
This could have been a catastrophe for the US and global economy (and surely would have if the idiot Bush was still in charge), but instead the catastrophe has been averted, but difficult times lie ahead.
Second stimulus on its way.
Dear David
by Abarmard on Tue Jul 07, 2009 12:27 PM PDTIt is unfair to judge what the economists have suggested, knowing only too well what the results would be. Unfortunately because of our global financial crises, there are not many options on the table.
The issue begins with the policies in place that allows foreign direct investments along with global financial institutions combined in order to make trade simpler, hence the faster flow of capital.
Unfortunate scenario was the confusion for the internal financial policies in comparison to the global one. IMF and WTO have almost no power, similar to the political body of the U.N.
The issue is more complicated than just printing money. Since no other options are given. No political groups or economists have taken the responsibility of a possible action that needs to be taken in order to fix the current crises that is leading to a higher unemployment, lack of consumer trusts, and overall downfall of the banks and institutions.
The problem of China is also another issue to consider.With over a trillion of dollars that Chinese own, we are at the mercy of the Chinese government.
Here is my proposal. Don't mention what's wrong, but what would you do?
I do not believe that Obama has made any major mistake as he has inherited this huge problem. The hope: Consumer confidence returns. The EU would recover and the Chinese willingly, gradually allow their currency to flow freely.
At the mean time, the government needs to spend and create jobs and possibly new investments. To match the speed of cash with inflation, in this situation that no one knows much about, is an unbelievable task. Give Obama credit for what's worth. McCain would just cut taxes and start a war. He could not handle any of this.