Analysis of Iran - IAEA Agreement

Meir Javedanfar
by Meir Javedanfar

The recent news "IAEA, Iran Reach Accord On Atomic Inspections" is a positive development for two reasons:

1- The recent accord between Iran and the P5+1 has not been signed yet. Nevertheless, the very fact that after stonewalling the IAEA over questions regarding possible weapons related work, Iran is now willing to consider reaching an agreement over this matter is a positive sign and a positive development.

2 This positive development is taking place the day before the upcoming negotiations between the P5+1 and Iran in Baghdad. As its a positive development, it could create a more positive atmosphere in the talks, thus increasing their chances of success.

The future and sustainability of this agreement very much depends on the upcoming talks between Iran and the P5+1 in Baghdad. We must remember that the recent agreement between Iran and the IAEA has not been signed yet. Should the talks in Baghdad fail and relations between Iran and the P5+1 over the nuclear negotiations worsen, the chances that Iran may ultimately back away from signing this recent deal would increase".

Meir Javedanfar teaches the Contemporary Iranian Politics course at IDC Herzliya in Israel.


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by hass on

Iran already allowed the IAEA to visit Parchin twice in 2005, where nothing was found, despite that fact that legally Iran was not obligated to do so. Iran did not "stonewall" the IAEA but filed a 170-page reply to the allegations for past weapons research, despite the fact that Iran has never been allowed to actually see these "Alleged Studies" documents.

 Peter Casey has written:

[Saying] that "Iran refuses to answer" IAEA questions is grossly misleading. As documented in every single IAEA board report since the laptop allegations first surfaced, Iran has consistently and adamantly answered many of the allegations by describing them as baseless and fabricated. In addition, it was only in February 2008 that the U.S. gave the IAEA permission to show any of the documents to Iran to enable it to respond (IAEA Gov/2008/4 at paragraph 37). The U.S. further manipulated the IAEA's efforts by providing "much of this information [to the IAEA] only in electronic form" and "not authorizing the [IAEA] to provide copies to Iran" (IAEA Gov/2008/15 at paragraph 16). The U.S. even refused to give the IAEA itself copies of some material. For example, the U.S. did not let the IAEA have copies of key documents concerning the "ballistic missile warhead" for a "nuclear weapon" ... ... The agency was "therefore unfortunately unable to make them available to Iran."

So who is actually stonewalling whom?

Read more by Gareth Porter


Even God is Against This Agreement!

by Faramarz on

There is a sandstorm in Baghdad today which has closed the airport, so the P5+1 meeting might get delayed.

What the Regime is doing with IAEA is playing cat-and-mouse with the inspectors and try to drive a wedge between the west and Russia/China. But the good news is that the US Senate just passed a new resolution closing the loopholes on oil sanctions.

In a nutshell, what the US is saying is that, "if you want to do business with the west, you cannot do business with the IR Regime."