If an imaginary cartoon becomes real

Nuclearization of the Middle East


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If an imaginary cartoon becomes real
by Nima Tamaddon
28-Sep-2007
 

"The Third World war erupted in the year 2008, and the struggling (engaged) nations have used magnetic weapons, that are far more dangerous than the classical ones..."

You may not know where this quote comes from but most Arabs in the Middle East are familiar with it, especially those who are in my age group. It is the opening narration of each part of a memorable Japanese cartoon, which used to be aired on several Arabic TV channels during 80s.

While the original name of the cartoon was "Conan: The Boy in Future" produced in late 70s in Japan, all Arabs remember it by its Arabic name "Adnan wa Lina".

It was probably one of the most beloved cartoons for the Arab audiences which stayed on about 5 years after the beginning of Iran-Iraq war.

As an Iranian child who fled from Khorramshahr after the city was occupied by Iraqi troops, I was one of "Adnan wa Lina" fans while taking refuge in Booshehr, south of Iran, around 20 kilometers near the now famous nuclear plant, closed at that time.

Recent reports and stories about Middle East's nuclear surge, which is interpreted by some analysts as an "Islamic nuclear arms race" reminded me of the adventures of Adnan.

Based on the apocalyptic cartoon, mankind faces the threat of extinction in July 2008. An ultra-magnetic weapon, far more devastating than any nuclear weapon known, destroys half the world in a single instant. The earth's crust splits away, the earth veers off of its axis, and five continents are torn completely apart and sink deep below the sea...

Now in 2007, it seems the imaginary cartoon is somehow turning into reality, considering the start of Middle East's nuclearization. In recent months, several Arab countries, including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, The UAE, Yemen and Lybia have boosted their nuclear programs or announced their intentions for reaching "peaceful nuclear capability". But many experts believe that Arab countries -- some of whom enjoy huge oil incomes -- are simply preparing themselves against the Iranian nuclear threat.

While deterrence is the main rationale for the measures this or that Arab nations takes, some non-proliferation experts like Joseph Cirincione interpret the nuclear surge in the Middle East to be a result of global powers' interests and their competition to sell their nuclear technology.

If this is the case and if world powers cannot restrain Iran's nuclear ambitions, then the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), which apparently allows IAEA members to enrich uranium for "peaceful purposes" should be amended.

The fourth article of the NPT has been interpreted by some states to grant them a right to uranium enrichment for fuel. But there seems to be an ambiguity. Because there is no explicit prohibition against the technology of enrichment but implicit understanding that any nuclear activity including enrichment, which is aimed at building nuclear weapons, is banned.

Obviously, enriched uranium is a critical component for both civil nuclear power generation as well as nuclear weapons. As a signatory of the NPT, Iran claims it has a right to enrich uranium and in the last 4 years, "enriching " or " not enriching" has been the core of the conflicts between Iran and the rest of the world.

The Iranian regime claims enrichment is its "absolute right" but the US, her allies and some other countries reject that claim. Somehow it seems the NPT is deficient as a regulatory regime. Either enrichment is the right of a select group or the right of all signatories.

And a nightmare looms. Imagine a nuclear Middle East following an Iranian-style interpretation of NPT safeguards: Many countries eventually deterring one another with nuclear arsenals by targeting their weapons at each other; in a region full of political, racial, ideological and territorial disputes.

The story of "Adnan wa Lina" depicted a miraculous condition in which some part of the globe together with its plants and inhabitants survived the devastation and a number of children, including Adnan and Lina, together with a group of adults were trying to save the annihilated earth by fighting against evil rulers and their oppressive rule.

But in the real world what would be the result of having unconventional weapons in the hands of Middle Eastern leaders?

Nima Tamaddon is a Prague-based journalist who is currently working as a radio broadcaster in Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty's Persian Service.


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Those who believe

by Anonymousq (not verified) on

Those who believe mistakenly, or advocate maliciously, that nuclear activities bring stability, survival of the regime, prosperity, prestige and respect, they need only look at two examples: the case of Chernobyl nuclear accident and the deserted, ghost communities that spread in all directions from it today; and the case of Pakistan. Those who think that having a nuclear weapon is their ticket to stability and indefinite plundering and brutalziing the Iranian nation bear the most moral responsibility in case of disastrous nuclear accidents or a devestating war of nuclearized arab nations and Israel against Iran...


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Salaam Nima, Were you

by Joubin Houshyar (not verified) on

Salaam Nima,

Were you recently liberated from Camp Ashraf, by any chance?

//www.un.org/events/npt2005/npttreaty.html


Article IV

1. Nothing in this Treaty shall be interpreted as affecting the inalienable right of all the Parties to the Treaty to develop research, production and use of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes without discrimination and in conformity with Articles I and II of this Treaty.

2. All the Parties to the Treaty undertake to facilitate, and have the right to participate in, the fullest possible exchange of equipment, materials and scientific and technological information for the peaceful uses of nuclear energy. Parties to the Treaty in a position to do so shall also co-operate in contributing alone or together with other States or international organizations to the further development of the applications of nuclear energy for peaceful purposes, especially in the territories of non-nuclear-weapon States Party to the Treaty, with due consideration for the needs of the developing areas of the world.

/& Salaam!


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Think!

by Farnaz (not verified) on

Your article does not consider that there are much stronger forces in play in the Middle East. The strongest military force in the Middle East is Israel. Their nuclear weapons and advance ballistic weapons can target nearly all Middle East countries with out any trouble. Israel can easily confront several countries at once as they demonstrated in the 1970's and come out ahead. The other nuclear force is Pakistan which given their political stability is of major concern. The American forces are the primary nuclear power in the Middle East. With nuclear armed submarines they can punish (if they choose to do so) any of the Middle East countries with out any problems. Iran's nuclear issue is all hype by western media. Iran's military capability nuclear or otherwise is not the issue of our time! Let's think deeply and you will see that behind the smoke and the mist there are much stronger powers that can cause the devastation that you're referring to.


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Use of language

by Nuked (not verified) on

You are parroting the same language that Western powers use in describing Iran's nuclear program which shows your bias. "Iranian nuclear threat?" What is that? What threat? How could Iran be a threat when even the IAEA has found no proof of a diversion of nuclear program for military means? No weaponization. Get it? No weaponization, no threat.
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"Iranian-style interpretation of NPT?" You got me there!
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"The Iranian regime claims enrichment is its "absolute right" but the US, her allies and some other countries reject that claim." While many other countries including all of Non-Aligned Movement (112 countries or so) completely support it and have repeatedly said so. Why not mention them? 112 countries in the "international community" is not worth a mention? Or is the "international community" only limited to a handful of western countries? Why use "Iranian regime" and not "US regime?" Is this selective use of the term "regime" supposed to discredit any claim Iran makes?
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Oh, never mind. I just noticed you work for Radio Farda. That tells me everything I need to know. You are a member of the $75M Club. You get paid for using this kind of biased language and if you don't you won't have a job for too long. Carry on then and keep watching your cartoons.


Bavafa

what interpretation?

by Bavafa on

Dear Nima,

What is exactly meant by "Iranian-style interpretation of NPT" and where did you get that interpretation?

I believe these are the type of rhetoric's and misinformation that are spread with the intention to give the perception of wrong-doings of the Iranians without providing any REAL facts. Iran as a signatory of NTP has the full right for enrichment and history has shown that it can not relay on other powers to be a reliable partners.

Mehrdad


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The entire region will be

by Anonymous1 (not verified) on

The entire region will be fully nuclearized, rest assured. The Islamist will annihilate themseleves give enough rope. That's the whole idea.


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Dear Nima

by Ananymous (not verified) on

I may be old but not yet blind and don't see any relation between your fictional cartoon story and what is going on in today's world. First the world already has seen the consequences of nuclear bomb in Japan in WWII. When Dr Oppenheimer sighed that he created "death" the genie was out of the bottle. Second, one major inducement for countries to sign NPT was that they have the right to use nuclear power for peaceful purposes. Even with that Israel and India were both non-signatory to the treaty. Had they stipulated no nuclear enrichment for any other country except the ones that have it already, no country would have signed the treaty. This stipulation was the "beef" of the treaty not its simple overlooked and not very clear item of the treaty. NPT clearly allows the signatory countries to develop peaceful nuclear energy and developing nuclear energy requires enrichment. By the way this fear mongering tactic that now all the middle Eastern countries want to get into nuclear development business is a fantasy which is propagated by CIA, NeoCons and Zionists. For one Lybia has gone completely out of this business and other Middle East countries are just mouthing this desire to please GW and his imperial presidency.


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