‘to subdue an enemy without fighting is the acme of skill…’ - Sun Tzu
Under the current administration, it is increasingly difficult to know who the enemy is, but what is certain is that the latest NIE is a brilliantly executed psychological warfare by way of misinformation. This dastardly plan is so devious that even the anti-war groups are jubilant at its release, and they are naively sharing its contents. Perhaps non are as enthusiastic about the report as the most powerful lobby group in America hostile to Iran.
The AIPAC was quick to announce: "Far from acquitting Iran, the NIE reveals that Tehran continues to violate the international community's calls to end the pursuit of the fuel cycle and the ability to make highly enriched uranium, concludes that Iran has utilized and has at its disposal a hidden, secret second unacknowledged, unmonitored track for enriching bomb fuel, and has engaged in a nuclear weaponization program, an assessment never before made public by the American intelligence community". "All in all, it's a clarion call for additional and continued effort to pressure Iran economically and politically to end its illicit nuclear programs” (source JTA).
The NIE claims that ‘Iran halted its nuclear weapons program in 2003’. This report now in circulation, and being repeated by every media outlet, and as importantly, by way of word of mouth, is giving credibility to the warmongers that Iran actually had a nuclear weapons program, with the idea that ‘repetition begets belief’. Drumming home a false message, the White House will get the justification it needs to impose further sanctions, with the idea of escalating into a war.
In December 2002, an Iranian terrorist group, the Mojahedeen-e Khalg (MEK), listed on the State Department’s list of Foreign Terrorist Organizations, informed the U.S. government of the existence of two nuclear sites in Iran. Sy Hersh later revealed in *The New Yorker* that Israel had provided them with this information. It must also be pointed out that as a member of the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), Iran is not under any obligations to inform the IAEA of construction sites.
However, members must inform the Atomic Agency 180 days prior to introducing uranium processing equipment and material to the site. Once the United States confirmed the existence of the sites by satellite, it accused Tehran of "across-the-board pursuit of weapons of mass destruction." To dispel such accusations, Iran agreed to intrusive inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency. This accusation was false.
Iran was late in reporting which is a Safeguard issue. In a spirit of cooperation, and in an attempt to demonstrate its in October 2003, after meeting French, German and British foreign ministers, Tehran voluntarily stopped the process of enriched uranium; it also allowed the IAEA to carry out intrusive, spot inspections. No country has allowed as many inspection hours as Iran.
In the meanwhile, it proposed to operate Iran’s enrichment program as joint ventures with private and public sector firms from other countries; this would ensure that the program remained transparent and could not be secretly diverted for military purposes, at the same time it would maintain Iran’s sovereignty by having an indigenously enriched uranium cycle (source: IAEA Bulletin Online, vol 46, no 2, 2004 “Nuclear fuel cycle: which way forward for multilateral approaches?”) . Although this was rejected, Iran continued to cooperate.
Iran suspended its enrichment activities for two and half years, but each time under pressure from the U.S., the burden of proof was transferred to Iran knowing the negative could not be proved. Instead of Iran getting the full cooperation of the IAEA for the development of nuclear technology, it was ordered to stop preparations for large-scale uranium enrichment. In 2005 U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell labeled Iran a growing danger and called for the UN Security Council to impose sanctions.
According to Article 19 of Iran’s safeguards agreement with the IAEA, the Agency may refer Iran to the UN Security Council if it is “unable to verify that there has been no diversion of nuclear material required to be safeguarded under this agreement, to nuclear weapons or other nuclear explosive devices”. The IAEA had reported that all declared fissile material in Iran had been accounted for, and none has been diverted. (source: IAEA)
In December 2006, Congress overwhelmingly signed a controversial bill to expand the sale of civilian nuclear technology to India. Not only is this bill in violation of Article III of the NPT given that India is not a member state of the NPT, but the irony is that the catalyst for the Nuclear Supplier Group (NSG)) in 1976 was India’s nuclear test. This group (first called the London Group) met to restrain the transfer of uranium-enrichment and plutonium-extraction equipment and technology.
What added to the Iranian grievance was the speech given by undersecretary of State, Nicholas Burns, as he announced the U.S.-India nuclear cooperation: “after 30 years we have realized that the NPT is ineffective, therefore we are going to reward India for non-proliferation . In response to a reporter who quizzed him about Iran, he said we plan to punish Iran for violating the NPT. Iran was sent to the UNSC, however, later it was revealed by (former) undersecretary for arms control Radermaker that the U.S. had coerced India into voting against Iran.
As for the covert operations Iran is accused of, again, it is worthwhile examining the facts versus the mainstream media propaganda.
In 1982 Iranian officials announced that they planned to build a reactor powered by their own uranium at the Isfahan nuclear technology centre after the Iraqis destroyed the one almost completed under the Shah. The IAEA inspected that and other facilities in Iran in 1983, and planned to assist Iran in converting yellowcake into reactor fuel.
The IAEA report stated clearly that its aim was to “contribute to the formation of local expertise and manpower needed to sustain an ambitious program in the field of nuclear power reactor technology and fuel cycle technology” – the inalienable right of an NPT signatory under Article IV, but the agency’s assistance program was terminated under US pressure (source: Mark Hibbs, “US in 1983 stopped IAEA from helping Iran make UF6", Nuclear Fuel, 4 August 2003).
Undeterred, Iran searched for alternatives sources of uranium and in 1984 Iranian radio announced that negotiations with Niger on the purchase of uranium were nearing conclusion. In 1985 another broadcast openly discussed the discovery of uranium deposits in Iran with the director of Iran’s atomic energy organization. [In 1992, an IAEA spokesperson, Melissa Flemming, confirmed that its inspectors had visited the mines and Iran had announced plans to develop the full nuclear fuel cycle. Source: Associated Press, 10 February 2003 and “Front End nuclear capability being developed”, Nuclear Engineering International, 31 March 2003.
Tehran had openly entered into negotiations with several nations, including Brazil, Russia, India, Argentina, Germany, Ukraine and Spain, for the purchase of nuclear energy facilities and components. Almost all of these deals ultimately fell through after pressure from Washington. Iran finally turned to the Soviet Union( later Russia) and concluded a deal in .
Despite economic ties with Iran and a foothold into the Moslem world, under pressure from the U.S., Russian officials expelled Iranians studying nuclear physics and missile science from Russian schools in late 1997 (Iran Times, August 22, 1997). They also halted all vocational training of Iranian students in fields that may have had applications for nuclear weapons and missiles.
In addition, the power stations that Iran bought from Russia and China are peaceful nuclear technology. President Yeltsin assured Washington that Iran would not be able to make weapons-grade plutonium and that he had canceled the "military components" of two nuclear reactors bound for Iran. Under U.S. pressure, both Ukraine and China have made some adjustments. China also suspended the sale of a plant for the conversion of uranium hexafluoride, which is required for making fuel rod.
Non of this points to a covert nuclear program.
For readers who feel some relief that the prospect of an imminent war has somewhat faded, let us be reminded of the report’s ‘findings’, its implications, and of recent history.
Word is being circulated that sanctions were effective in curbing Iran’s nuclear weapons program. First, as discussed above, Iran did not have a nuclear weapons program, and second, Iran voluntarily halted its enrichment program two years BEFORE sanctions wre imposed on it.
The international community must put pressure on world leaders to lift current sanctions on Iran. It cannot be emphasized strongly enough that sanctions are a form of long warfare. How can we forget the 500,000 Iraqi children who died as a result of our sanctions? We shamelessly overlook the other Iraqis whose lives we took with our sanctions. As citizens of the country we live in and as members of a global community, each one of us must be reminded of the “Universal Declaration of Human Rights” and act on it:
Whereas recognition of the inherent dignity and of the equal and inalienable rights of all members of the human family is the foundation of freedom, justice and peace in the world,
Whereas it is essential to promote the development of friendly relations between nations,
Whereas the peoples of the United Nations have in the Charter reaffirmed their faith in fundamental human rights, in the dignity and worth of the human person and in the equal rights of men and women and have determined to promote social progress and better standards of life in larger freedom,
Whereas Member States have pledged themselves to achieve, in cooperation with the United Nations, the promotion of universal respect for and observance of human rights and fundamental freedoms.
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Bravo Soraya
by Mina Abbassi (not verified) on Wed Dec 05, 2007 07:52 PM PSTThanks for a wonderful analysis and informative article.
Mina
Excellent Report!
by Mehdi on Wed Dec 05, 2007 05:09 PM PSTIt is amazing how much the mainstream media can lie when "they" want to. It is time people got more involved.
Re: aaj sr
by jamshid on Wed Dec 05, 2007 04:42 PM PSTI agree with you. This NIE report seems too fishy. Why all the sudden a report comes out that damages Bush and his policies while we all know damn well that Bush and Co. could have delayed ANY intelligence report for another decade, if they wanted to. That's why it's fishy.
There is something more going on. Perhaps Bush and Co. stroke a deal with the IRI who wants to behave now. But then why wouldn't Bush come and say that he has defused IRI using diplomacy and add more credit to himself? To save face for IRI?
Then why he wants to continue with the sanctions?
Or did the NIE intelligence report came out as a "coup" against Bush by the anti-Bush camp? I seriously doubt it.
Something is not right.
In this game of US Neo-con & IRI, Iranian people will be winner
by on your face (not verified) on Wed Dec 05, 2007 02:17 PM PSTThose who oppose the Islamic Republic and its brutality for being one of the most barbaric and apartheid regime in mankind history can not be labeled as pro US imperialism and Israel war machines. We are about 80 to 90 percent of Iranian population in Iran and aboard who oppose war and Islamic Republic of Iran both.
We are NOT for war and not for serving US or Israel, you sleazy bastards. We are massive force for interest of nation of Iran and for democracy, secularism, rules of law, human rights, system of check and balance, and separation of religion from power and government.
This trend of drum of war on Iran and Islamic repression of IRI on Iranian people will eventually work in benefit of Iranian people. True secular and democrat freedom seekers Iranians will eventually have the most powerful international freedom seekers in their support to free Iran from chain of brutal international arm and oil, and nuclear dealers and mullah mafias.
This wind is strong and is getting stronger every day and will blow away every sleazy anti Iran and Iranians.
war mongers anonymous group therapy
by recovering warmonger (not verified) on Wed Dec 05, 2007 01:48 PM PSTUnderstandably some of us Iranian supporters of neocan/AIPAC are having a hard time to absorb the shock generated by NIE report. It pains me to tell my fellow Iranian war mongers that we are suffering even more than our masters. We were counting the seconds for start of the invasion and devastation in our homeland and now we have to face this mendacity.
My fellow Iranian war mongers, let’s get together, hire some shrinks and help each other! We can apply some of that $75 million for the associated expenses
Join me massoudAjan, Ghafforijan, Nouraijan,…
Some Mafia in Nuclear business in Iran getting vocal here
by on your face (not verified) on Wed Dec 05, 2007 01:43 PM PSTWe have seen many mullahs and supporters before getting rich while brutally repressing Iranian people. Now, in this nuclear industry business we are seeing a new group of mullah and IRI regime supports becoming more vocal. Strange, you people post as anonymous! Why should you be afraid of identity? Is it because the mafia factions in Iran are too brutal and can not trust each others?
Talk about interest of Iranian nation. Talk about democracy in Iran. Talk about freedom of speech and press. Talk about women rights. Talk about human rights in Iran. Talk about being a responsible nation with check and balance. Talk about separation of religion from power and government.
Then, I trust you.
Thanks!
by . (not verified) on Wed Dec 05, 2007 01:03 PM PSTMs. Sepahpour-Ulrich, thank you for your yet another well-written article. The Iranian nuclear controversy has become a patriotic national issue for all 'true' Iranians regardless of the current regime. The IRI, despite all its flaws and errors, has done a pretty good job in defending the inalienable rights of Iran and has acted reasonably for resolving this issue. In fact, the world powers who call themselves civilized have performed so poorly and irrationally that, from time to time, need to resort to such reversals as this phony NIE report. The truth of the matter is that this report, whether it's a brilliant trick or another blunder, is a sign of desperation on the part of the Bush administration. It is viewed as a victory for the Iranian nation in the eyes of the rest of the world.
Hands Off the PEOPLE of Iran
by Farid L (not verified) on Wed Dec 05, 2007 12:14 PM PSTFor interest of Iranian nation: TO US and IRI
Hands Off the PEOPLE of Iran
//iranian.com/main/2007/hands
"The Iranian bodies currently affiliated to the UK's Stop the War Coalition both appear to be on friendly terms with President Ahmadinejad's government. As such they are considered by many to be kowtowing to Islamists. Does Hopi plan to do that too?
Not at all. HOPI was set up by Iranian exiles that have seen the reality of the regime's "anti-imperialism" for themselves. We in HOPI point out that the Iranian theocracy has never been a consistently anti-imperialist force -- not during the times of the Irangate scandal and certainly not today where it uncritically imposes the agenda of the International Monetary Fund and oversees the brutal oppression of national and religious minorities in Iran. We also understand that the Iranian regime is cynically using the pretext of war to justify its increased repression of radical movements for democracy within Iran -- labelling trade unionists such as Mansour Ossanlou or student radicals like Bijan Sabbagh "American conciliators."
HOPI is unique in the sense that it is campaigning on two fronts -- resisting the war plans of imperialism and looking to build support for -- and active solidarity with -- the burgeoning radical and secular movements in Iran. These are consistently anti-imperialist because they have no illusions in the project of imperialism and also reject the idea that political Islam -- a force that has not delivered its promises of prosperity and wellbeing in the past 30 years -- would consistently uphold their interests in any military conflict. As you know, some leading mullahs have already prepared themselves for war and new sanctions by shifting their assets to East Asian banks."
Fishy Indeed !!
by masoudA on Wed Dec 05, 2007 12:13 PM PSTThey just sold the world on the fact that the mullahs did have a nuclear arms program - and the mullahs certainly danced (literaly) to that tune !! So are their payrolleds here on this forum - dance mama dance.
Lifting Sanctions Would Be Foolish
by Kaveh Nouraee on Wed Dec 05, 2007 12:07 PM PSTRegardless of who is the current occupant of the White House, or who may be the future occupant, their policies and attitudes, the fact remains that the IRI is Public Enemy Number One to the world.
The IRI steadfastly refuses to participate in being a productive member of society, preferring instead to mingle with the likes of Hugo Chavez of Venezuela. The IRI refuses to be open and honest about the nuclear program, whether it was, is or will ever be civilian or weapon-making. The IRI executes children. The IRI violates every basic human right as a matter of routine.
As long as the IRI continues to operate in this way (which is the way they have operated since day one in February 1979), it is imperative on the world that sanctions be imposed until this criminal regime is dissolved once and for all. There is no way that they can be recognized as a legitimate government.
Something fishy?
by aaj sr (not verified) on Wed Dec 05, 2007 11:04 AM PSTIt's hard to believe that all of a sudden a highly classified, self damaging report surfaced. This report like many others could have been shelfed for 40 years.
It makes it suspicious even more when the 5+1 were in final discussion to draft the 3rd. resolution. We should not be naive to believe what we see/hear at surface value.
AIPAC has got it right
by Fred (not verified) on Wed Dec 05, 2007 10:47 AM PSTYou say “Iran was late in reporting which is a Safeguard issue.” No it is way past being tardy, it is in violation of the nuclear treaty Islamist Republic is a signatory to; therefore it cannot and will not be trusted without rigorous verification and intrusive inspections. Your employers in Tehran are currently in violation of a UN legally binding order to cease and decease from its dual purpose enrichment activity. The Islamists' nemesis AIPAC has got it right.
You would think so
by Alborzi (not verified) on Wed Dec 05, 2007 10:36 AM PSTBut my eye does not drink water. You wait AIPAC will
hatch a new scheme and Hillary will bend over.
A great and well argued article
by Bavafa on Wed Dec 05, 2007 10:11 AM PSTFor those who follow the events and the news with open mind, it has been clear to know that the big powers lead by the US's neocons and AIPAC lobby group are hell bent to stop Iran from progress in any area, specially in the nuclear energy. I firmly believe if they stop interfering in Iran's business, the Iranian people will be more free and willing to demand the sort of changes that they wish in relation to the social system and justice.
Mehrdad
Good point
by farokh2000 on Wed Dec 05, 2007 09:33 AM PSTThanks. Who knows where these morons are going with all of these lies. Is it just deception and distraction game they are playing to brain wash their people?
I know people of other counrties are much smarter and would not buy into this garbage.
Dismantle this apartheid and barbaric Islamic regime
by (:-)) (not verified) on Wed Dec 05, 2007 09:29 AM PSTThe international community must put pressure on Islamic Republic of Iran to dismantle this apartheid and barbaric Islamic regime. The international community must now and firever support all democratic forces in Iran to become free from chains of Islamic and religious repression and establish democracy and rules of law and respecting human rights.