Iran’s upcoming presidential election pits Mr. Mosavi with an implacable resume against the current Ph.D. president. All indications point to a soft win by the challenger and a shift in Iran’s foreign affair and relation with its western “friends/adversaries”. As a token of gratitude to the public for their votes, the new government will also grant them special freedom of wearing less and coloring their hair more. Sounds familiar? This was the Khatami’s “Grand Bargain” letter proposal sent to Bush and the company. In it, Khatami and his gang promised to forgo the Nuclear R/D, Cease Iran’s Missile and space development, forgo the support for Lebanon and let loose the Syria and Philistine to face the onslaught of the Israel. As the return, the US will let the Khatami’s gang alone. Suffice to say this was a surrender notice and not a “Grand Bargain”. Lucky for Iran and its citizens, a dummy was in charge of the white house. The Bushies grumble that “the real man goes to Tehran”, a reference to Tehran is next after Baghdad, and no negotiation. What the US relayed to Iran to do is “Just die”.
Let us examine what would have happened if US would have said “YES” to the Khatami. From 2003 to 2005, Iran halted its nuclear activities. As a result of such agreement going into a permanent status, some 3000 Iranian nuclear scientists currently in Isfahan would face a bleak employment situation. Most would pack their bags and leave for Australia, Canada, and some lucky few surrender to the US. Off course, the missile and space sector would even face a bleaker situation than the nuclear. Other sectors of the science and manufacturing such as auto and biotechnology would take back seats to the Imports. It is suffice to say Iran would have faced a second wave of brain drain, likes of which we have not seen yet.
The rewards, off course, would have been for the Khatami’s company to win the next election and reward themselves with the poses taken while professing “dialog of civilizations”. There wouldn’t be any benefits for the common street people, as they were already fed up by Khatami and his gang’s incompetence and double talk.
The west’s response of “real man goes to Tehran” prompted the Tehran to change gear. Election of the current government headed by a Ph.D. in Engineering accelerated R/D in all fields of science closely related to the survival of Iran and deflecting the invasion threat by US and allies. The approach, handeling and results have a lot to do with the Ph.D. in Engineering and personal understanding of the cause and effects. Something that other non-science fields, i.e. Philosophy, lacks.
Suffice to say that the new administration achieved the security goal by increasing many fold the cost of “going to Tehran” for the “real man”. As the results, the invasion plans were revisited, modified, recalculated and finally put on hold. New approaches are deemed needed to “go to Tehran”.
In addition to increasing the cost to the “real man” for his journey to “Tehran”, the new administration started to use the cause and effect to show the west that it is not any better than its own claim about the east. Most notably, the campaign of the influx of the western Yaghobies into ME is used to both show the west its hollow claims to civilization and democracy, and also expose, aggravate and rattle the root cause for the US’s ME policies for the last 50 or so years.
Iranians know well that the claim and excuse for Democracy as justification for west presence, pressure, and intimidation is a sham. After the 1953 CIA coup in Iran, the country fell in one of the darkest period in as far as political freedom is concerned. Most of our today’s paranoia and anxiety can be traced to that traumatic and unfriendly act.
A year or so after the Ph.D. made it clear that the Yaghobi can not hide behind a veil of propaganda about “Holocaust”, “Victimized”, and “The chosen ones”, the Yaghobi decided to have a mini Israel-Iran war in Lebanon and to show that the Ph.D. is a weak tweak. To their surprise, a severe defeat followed that rattled their invincibility and “chosen one” claims. Suffice to say that in all phases they were stopped. Their naval vessel was destroyed by a shore to ship missile (it was originally claimed to be either a stray drone or a suicide attack). Their communication was so jammed and encryption so broken that the Lebanonies would announce the Yaghobies’ movements and casualties directly from the Yaghobies’ communications. The madness that followed resulted in an indiscriminate destruction of the roads/bridges/ and infrastructure of Lebanon for no apparent reason or military gains, but to destroy just to destroy.
After the mini war, it became apparent that to stop Iran, they need to discredit the Ph.D. by any means possible. Yaghobi’s media went into blitz. A Ph.D. in engineering, earned from one of the same colleges that have trained scientist and engineers responsible for these rockets sent to the space, reinvented the nuclear science, becomes a mad man and a lunatic Yaghobi hater. There is not one day that we wake up and not find an article by the butchers of the Jerusalem about how and what the world needs to do or else they’ll destroy him (the Ph.D.) and Iran.
It is now the opportune time. The elections are upon us. A massive world-wide campaign is underway, likes of the 1953, to roll back Iran. With a much fanfare in western media a former prime minister with, I should say, an implacable working history is challenging the Ph.D. The challenger is not under question, but rather his motive is. After all he is the one that declined to run in the last election for claiming to be “semi-retired”.
A scant cursory survey of the internet news sheds more light on the motive. Resurrect the “Grand bargain/Grand surrender”. Under a veil of “more personal freedom”, “less radical image”, and “better accountabilities” we will be pushed back to the days of Rafsanjani/Khatami with the exception that this time the west wont leave us untouched.
Should they accomplish what many are saying have a better than 55% chance of winning, most of the Space/command, control, and R/D will vanish in a few years. The nuclear activities at best will revert back to a scenario of 1970’s (i.e. we become a client and at the mercy of the Germans/French which by-the-way still owe us the reactors and the fuel that Shah paid for). And forget about our auto industry moving from 16 to top 10. A flood of imports will render it to the days of Pykan.
In short it is up to all of us to maintain and enhance the rise of Iran to its natural glory. It is up to us not to fall in for empty superficial promises again and again.
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