WAR
by Matthew Kroenig
Skeptics of military action fail to appreciate the true danger that a nuclear-armed Iran would pose to U.S. interests in the Middle East and beyond. And their grim forecasts assume that the cure would be worse than the disease -- that is, that the consequences of a U.S. assault on Iran would be as bad as or worse than those of Iran achieving its nuclear ambitions. But that is a faulty assumption
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APOLOGY
عذرخواهی عضو شورای انقلاب و دولت موقت از ملت ایران
by Ahmad Sadr Haj-Seyed Javadi
متاسف نیستم، تاسف اینجانب از این حقیقت مایه میگیرد كه تمامی روشنفكران در برههی انقلاب ۱۳۵۷، از دستیابی به وحدت و بسط و گسترش نهادهای مدنی و سیاسی مدرن در مقابل شبكههای سنتی اجتماعی درك درستی نداشتند و آگاهانه و متناسب با مسوولیتی كه بر عهده داشتند، عمل نكردند و بر اثر بیتجربگی و احیاناً اشتباهات عمدی و غیرعمدی، زمینهی ظهور و قدرتگیری بلامنازع سنتگرایان بر تحولخواهان فراهم شد
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BOYCOTT
بیانیه فعالان سیاسی و مدنی در خصوص تحریم انتخابات
by 286+ Signatures
به باور ما، به موازات تحریم انتخابات، کوشش برای تغییر ساختار انتخابات موجود ضروری است تا زمینه برگزاری انتخابات آزاد و منصفانه مطابق با کنوانسیون بین المللی حقوق سیاسی و مدنی منشور ملل متحد و موافقتنامه اتحادیه بین المجالس از طریق تامین مهمترین پیش شرط ها مانند آزادی بی قید و شرط زندانیان سیاسی، آزادی اجتماعات، آزادی رسانه ها و گردش آزاد اطلاعات و آزادی احزاب مخالف و اعمال نظارت بی طرفانه بر روند اجرای انتخابات فراهم گردد.
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VIEW
Aspirations of Iranian people must be taken into account
Undoubtedly, no one can question the merit and the long overdue need for the 80 million Iranians to achieve their aspirations for homegrown modernization and democratization. Freedom, reforms... are yearnings which Iranians have struggled for the past 150 years. The far more urging question is how such hallmarks of a nation would be impacted if and when the current military threats, followed with military strikes against Iran, materialize
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STUDY
Iran's leaders might be provocative, but they are unlikely to be suicidal
by Matthew Fuhrmann & Sarah Kreps
What happens if Iran does not give up its nuclear program? For some of the Republican presidential candidates, the answer is a pre-emptive strike against Iran's nuclear facilities. Although their rhetoric is more heated, the Republicans' prescription is similar to that of the Obama administration: keep military strikes on the table when dealing with Iran. This threat raises the question of whether striking Iran's nuclear facilities would actually delay proliferation
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WAR
Israel isn’t going to attack Iran and neither will the U.S.
by Barry Rubin
Israel has talked about attacking Iran and one can make a case for such an operation. Yet any serious consideration of this scenario — based on actual research and real analysis rather than what the uninformed assemble in their own heads or Israeli leaders sending a message to create a situation where an attack isn’t necessary — is this: It isn’t going to happen. Indeed, the main leak from the Israeli government, by an ex-intelligence official who hates Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, has been that the Israeli government already decided not to attack Iran
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OBAMA
Bush Light has same machinery behind him to squeeze another term out
Rumors of his intent to start a war with the rapist republic, seem to have some life but he does not need to start it, rather put them in a position to walk into a trap or an outright façade; much like the Gulf of Tonkin. Much like his presidency and the immaterial but well planned Iraq NO vote years earlier, the path has been mapped with precision. He has sent Norooz greetings and a few other messages of rapprochement, and quietly swapped captured ‘diplomats’ with IRR quietly in early days of post 2009 uprisings as he gave lip service to those getting killed in the street. Rest assured, Obama ba oonast, na ba ma.
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MONARCHY
آمدن پادشاهی یا رفتن جمهوری اسلامی؟
by Elahe Boghrat
امروز، خطر نه از سوی شاهزاده رضا پهلوی که بیشتر یک فرصت باقیمانده از همان سلسله ای است که در برابر بنیانگذاران جمهوری اسلامی میایستاد، بلکه در بقا و ادامه جمهوری اسلامی است. شاهزاده رضا پهلوی را باید به مثابه امکانی سنجید که بدون وی صحنه سیاست ایران قطعا نه تنها پربارتر نخواهد شد بلکه انصراف یا نبود وی، آن را بسی حقیر خواهد کرد چرا که همچنان با همان گروههای قانونی و غیرقانونی روبرو خواهیم بود که تا کنون بوده ایم و جز خطا و خیانت از آنها ندیده ایم
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SEXISM
تلاش برای کاهش سکسیسم مهیبی که نظام و اسلامش همواره تلاش کردهاند ذهن ما را دچارش کنند
واکنش شدید نسبت به هر موضوعی، چه موافق و چه مخالف، نشان از آن دارد که با آن کنار نیامدهایم. عریان شدن گلشیفته از همین دست است و واکنشهای شدید نسبت به عملش، پیش از هر چیز نشان از جامعهای دارد که ذهنش به طرز بیمارگونهای دچار بدن و جنسیت است. چیزی که برای خودمان البته در زمره “چه حاجت به بیان” است؛ و پیشتر در ماجرای انتشار فیلمی خصوصی حاوی نزدیکی جنسی بازیگر درجه دوم-سوم تلویزیون ایران با دوستش، چنان انفجاری رخ داد که قصه از “عیان” بودن هم گذشت.
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NO NUKES
Same conclusion as 16 US intelligence agencies
by Juan Cole
Israeli intelligence agencies have worked up an intelligence assessment that Iran has not yet decided whether to begin a military program to construct a nuclear warhead. Put in other words, Mossad believes that there is no current Iranian nuclear weapons program. This is the same conclusion to which the 16 US intelligence agencies have come in 2007 and 2010. It is also consistent with what the Iranian government itself says, which is that the Iranian nuclear enrichment program is a civilian one
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IRAN-US
No to military attacks or economic sanctions AND No to Islamic repression
The militant faction inside the Islamic Republic regime would actually welcome a limited military confrontation. The people of Iran will be the only losers, as they are the only losers now. The further misery for the people is exactly what the imperialists want. One major point here missed by a lot of western left is that, by equating the people of Iran with the state, they actually forget that for the Iranian state too, the people are dispensable
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TRITA
Review of "A Single Roll of the Dice"
by Sohrab Ahmari
In
A Single Roll of the Dice, Trita Parsi tries to account for this failure. But rather than re-examine U.S. policy and its underlying assumptions, Mr. Parsi spends much of the book casting blame on a wide range of actors for Mr. Obama's inability to disarm the clerical regime through diplomatic means. Such blame-shifting is not surprising. The author has spent years, as president of the National Iranian American Council, advocating for engagement with Iran; he is now determined to explain away the policy's inherent flaws
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OIL
What will European sanctions do to Iran?
by Patrick Clawson
The direct impact of the new EU oil embargo is relatively limited. But the indirect impact could be much greater. In part that is because the EU will also be applying pressure on EU banks to limit or end dealings with Iran’s Central Bank. Furthermore, the EU action may lead businesses, both from the EU and elsewhere, to reevaluate their presence in the Iranian market, which may be seen as becoming more problematic, that is, politically controversial
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IMAGINE
Attacking Iran would be like a thousand 9/11s for Iranians
Why should the Iranian and Israeli people be on the verge of military confrontation? War between Israel and Iran could easily spill over into a regional conflagration that could have devastating consequences given the likely disruption to oil and gas production. Do the Iranian people really want to go to war with the Jewish people? The answer is a resounding No! For thousands of years the Iranian and Jewish peoples have lived in peace, and continue to do so to this very day
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WAR
نقدی بر مناقشه ایرانیان درباره خطر حمله نظامی به ایران
by Mansour Farhang
مسلم این است که هیچ گروه با نفوذی در واشنگتن اشغال نظامی ایران و تکرار جنگ عراق و افغانستان را توصیه نمیکند و نیز غالب ناظران بر این باورند که دولت اوباما، حداقل تا پایان دوره اول ریاست جمهوری خود، از گزینه نظامی علیه ایران استفاده نخواهد کرد و فشار به ایران را از طریق تشدید تحریمهای اقتصادی و انزوای سیاسی ادامه خواهد داد.
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